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Grasshoppers vs Lausanne — Super League 2025

Grasshoppers
Grasshoppers
Preview
16:00
Lausanne
Lausanne
11/7/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 13Letzigrund Stadion
42%
Grasshoppers
model favours
42%23%34%

Grasshoppers score first in only 17% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
61%
over 2.5 goals
63%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 21+ matches

Grasshoppers42%
×Draw23%
Lausanne34%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Grasshoppers
1.68
Lausanne
1.50

Grasshoppers creates 12% more chances

Season form · 22 home / 21 away

creates per match

Grasshoppers
1.59
Lausanne
1.24

allows per match

Grasshoppers
1.77
Lausanne
1.76

finishing

Grasshoppers+0.00on par
Lausanne+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Grasshoppers ↓

Lausanne →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
61%39%3.5
39%61%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

Grasshoppers or draw
66%
Grasshoppers or Lausanne
77%
Draw or Lausanne
58%

Winning margin

Grasshoppers wins by 2+
22%
Lausanne wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Grasshoppers 1+ goals
81%
Grasshoppers 2+ goals
50%
Grasshoppers 3+ goals
24%
Lausanne 1+ goals
78%
Lausanne 2+ goals
44%
Lausanne 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

Grasshoppers (draw refunded)
55%
Lausanne (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
53%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Grasshoppers at home — creates 1.59, concedes 1.77 · 22 matches

Lausanne away — creates 1.24, concedes 1.76 · 21 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Grasshoppers attack 1.59 + Lausanne defence 1.76 → ÷2 → 1.68

Lausanne attack 1.24 + Grasshoppers defence 1.77 → ÷2 → 1.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Grasshoppers scores more
42%
level
23%
Lausanne scores more
34%

Grasshoppers at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Grasshoppers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Lausanne score first in only 17% of matches
  • 67% of Lausanne’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 4 meetings
  • Lausanne outscore their xG (2.3 vs 2.0 expected)
  • Their last 4 meetings averaged 3.8 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Grasshoppers
Balanced
Lausanne
Attack-heavy
46%Possession51%
72%Pass accuracy78%
11.9Shots14.4
1.24xGBiggest gap1.96
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
GrasshoppersLausanne

Head-to-head

4 previous meetings

2
Grasshoppers
1
Draws
1
Lausanne
Avg goals: 3.8BTTS: 100%
3–12–31–13–1

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Grasshoppers
LLWWD
Lausanne
LWLWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Grasshoppers vs Lausanne — Match Preview

Grasshoppers face Lausanne on November 7, 2026 in this Super League fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Grasshoppers host Lausanne at Letzigrund Stadion.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.