Granada CF 0–0 Las Palmas: Result & Stats

Granada CF

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Las Palmas

10/10/2025

Segunda División · Round 9Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 84+ matches

Granada CF50%

×Draw27%

Las Palmas23%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.5%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Granada CFExpected goals in this matchLas Palmas

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.39

0.85

Granada CF

1.39

Las Palmas

0.85

Granada CF creates 64% more chances

Season form · 84 home / 128 away

1.56

creates per match

0.94

0.76

allows per match

1.22

creates per match

Granada CF

1.56

Las Palmas

0.94

allows per match

Granada CF

0.76

Las Palmas

1.22

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Granada CF+0.00on par

Las Palmas+0.00on par

Total goals

Under61
Over39

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No57
Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Granada CF ↓

Las Palmas →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–011%

0–19%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–015%

1–113%

1–25%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–14%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

89%11%1.5

65%35%2.5

39%61%3.5

19%81%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

Granada CF or draw

77%

Granada CF or Las Palmas

73%

Draw or Las Palmas

50%

Winning margin

Granada CF wins by 2+

24%

Las Palmas wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

Granada CF 1+ goals

75%

Granada CF 2+ goals

40%

Granada CF 3+ goals

16%

Las Palmas 1+ goals

57%

Las Palmas 2+ goals

21%

Las Palmas 3+ goals

5%

Draw no bet

Granada CF (draw refunded)

68%

Las Palmas (draw refunded)

32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

30%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Granada CF at home — creates 1.56, concedes 0.76 · 84 matches

Las Palmas away — creates 0.94, concedes 1.22 · 128 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Granada CF attack 1.56 + Las Palmas defence 1.22 → ÷2 → 1.39

Las Palmas attack 0.94 + Granada CF defence 0.76 → ÷2 → 0.85

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Granada CF scores more

50%

level

27%

Las Palmas scores more

23%

Granada CF at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Granada CF will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

5

E. Clemente

Las Palmas · D

7.9

Match Events

57'

J. Recoba← I. Gil

64'

Enrique Clemente

65'

Alex Suarez← J. Herzog

65'

Pejino← Viti

65'

K. Rodriguez← E. Loiodice

68'

M. Bouldini← J. Pascual

75'

P. Saenz← P. Aleman

75'

L. Gagnidze←

77'

J. Mata←

79'

Baïla Diallo

90'

M. Trigueros← S. Ruiz

90'

S. Cortes← A. Sola

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

GranadaLas

Overview

40%Possession60%

11Total Shots9

7Corners7

18Fouls10

Shots

11Total Shots9

1On Target1

8Off Target3

2Blocked5

7Inside Box3

4Outside Box6

Passing

40%Possession60%

277Total Passes442

216Accurate Passes371

78%Pass Accuracy84%

Goalkeeping

1Saves1

Discipline

18Fouls10

1Yellow Cards1

1Offsides1