Górnik Łęczna 2–2 Resovia Rzeszów: Result & Stats

Górnik Łęczna

FT

2 – 2

HT: 0 – 0

Resovia Rzeszów

Chuma 78'

B. Spacil 68'

B. Zimnicki 85'

D. Baldyga 83'

1/21/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

Górnik Łęczna41%

×Draw24%

Resovia Rzeszów35%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Górnik ŁęcznaExpected goals in this matchResovia Rzeszów

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.57

1.42

Górnik Łęczna

1.57

Resovia Rzeszów

1.42

Górnik Łęczna creates 11% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 11 away

1.50

creates per match

1.64

1.19

allows per match

1.64

creates per match

Górnik Łęczna

1.50

Resovia Rzeszów

1.64

allows per match

Górnik Łęczna

1.19

Resovia Rzeszów

1.64

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Górnik Łęczna+0.00on par

Resovia Rzeszów+0.00on par

Total goals

Over57
Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes60
No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Górnik Łęczna ↓

Resovia Rzeszów →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–17%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–111%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–15%

3–23%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

80%20%2.5

57%43%3.5

35%65%4.5

18%82%

Double chance

Górnik Łęczna or draw

65%

Górnik Łęczna or Resovia Rzeszów

76%

Draw or Resovia Rzeszów

59%

Winning margin

Górnik Łęczna wins by 2+

20%

Resovia Rzeszów wins by 2+

16%

Team goals

Górnik Łęczna 1+ goals

79%

Górnik Łęczna 2+ goals

46%

Górnik Łęczna 3+ goals

21%

Resovia Rzeszów 1+ goals

76%

Resovia Rzeszów 2+ goals

41%

Resovia Rzeszów 3+ goals

17%

Draw no bet

Górnik Łęczna (draw refunded)

54%

Resovia Rzeszów (draw refunded)

46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

49%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Górnik Łęczna at home — creates 1.50, concedes 1.19 · 16 matches

Resovia Rzeszów away — creates 1.64, concedes 1.64 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Górnik Łęczna attack 1.50 + Resovia Rzeszów defence 1.64 → ÷2 → 1.57

Resovia Rzeszów attack 1.64 + Górnik Łęczna defence 1.19 → ÷2 → 1.42

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Górnik Łęczna scores more

41%

level

24%

Resovia Rzeszów scores more

35%

Górnik Łęczna at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Górnik Łęczna will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

68'

78'

83'

85'

Górnik

Resovia

Manager: Daniel Rusek

Manager: Pawel Kolc

Match Recap: Górnik Łęczna vs Resovia Rzeszów

Górnik Łęczna and Resovia Rzeszów drew 2-2 in Friendlies Clubs on January 21, 2026.

Goals: B. Spacil (68'), Chuma (78'), D. Baldyga (83'), B. Zimnicki (85').

Górnik Łęczna vs Resovia Rzeszów — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Górnik Łęczna vs Resovia Rzeszów