Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Godoy Cruz vs Gimnasia L.P. — Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Godoy Cruz
Godoy Cruz
FT
1 – 2
HT: 0 – 2
Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia L.P.
A. Auzmendi 90'
M. Torres 30'
M. Panaro 27'
8/7/2025Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional Argentina · 2nd Phase - 4Estadio Feliciano Gambarte

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 6+ matches

Godoy Cruz41%
×Draw29%
Gimnasia L.P.31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Godoy Cruz
1.20
Gimnasia L.P.
1.00

Godoy Cruz creates 20% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 26 away

creates per match

Godoy Cruz
1.18
Gimnasia L.P.
0.90

allows per match

Godoy Cruz
1.10
Gimnasia L.P.
1.22

finishing

Godoy Cruz+0.15scores more
Gimnasia L.P.-0.09on par

Total goals

62%Under
  • Under62
  • Over38

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

56%No
  • No56
  • Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Godoy Cruz ↓

Gimnasia L.P. →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–111%
0–26%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–113%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–18%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
65%35%2.5
38%62%3.5
18%82%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Godoy Cruz or draw
69%
Godoy Cruz or Gimnasia L.P.
71%
Draw or Gimnasia L.P.
59%

Winning margin

Godoy Cruz wins by 2+
17%
Gimnasia L.P. wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Godoy Cruz 1+ goals
70%
Godoy Cruz 2+ goals
34%
Godoy Cruz 3+ goals
12%
Gimnasia L.P. 1+ goals
63%
Gimnasia L.P. 2+ goals
26%
Gimnasia L.P. 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Godoy Cruz (draw refunded)
57%
Gimnasia L.P. (draw refunded)
43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
31%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Godoy Cruz at home — creates 1.18, concedes 1.10 · 6 matches

Gimnasia L.P. away — creates 0.90, concedes 1.22 · 26 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Godoy Cruz attack 1.18 + Gimnasia L.P. defence 1.22 → ÷2 → 1.20

Gimnasia L.P. attack 0.90 + Godoy Cruz defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 1.00

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Godoy Cruz scores more
41%
level
29%
Gimnasia L.P. scores more
31%

Godoy Cruz at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Godoy Cruz will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

38
M. PanaroGimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P. · M
8.9

Match Events

5'
Jeremías Merlo
27'
M. Panaro
30'
Franco Petroli
30'
M. Torres↳ M. Panaro
31'
Marcelo Torres
40'
Maximiliano González
45+1'
Norberto Briasco
46'
L. Arce← L. Jara
46'
W. Montoya← M. Gonzalez
46'
D. Barrea← M. Sosa
61'
German Conti← M. Torres
61'
A. Piedrahita← J. Merlo
70'
L. Dupuy← V. Poggi
78'
Nicolás Garayalde
80'
B. Merlini← M. Panaro
80'
A. Max← N. Garayalde
82'
Nelson Insfrán
86'
F. Corbalan← J. Villalba
88'
B. Yanez← J. Moran
90'
A. Auzmendi↳ N. Fernandez

Possession

64%Godoy

Shots

20Godoy

Pass accuracy

53%Godoy

Statistics

GodoyGimnasia
Overview
64%Possession36%
20Total Shots5
1.10Expected Goals (xG)1.39
8Corners4
9Fouls14
Shots
20Total Shots5
4On Target3
10Off Target2
6Blocked0
11Inside Box4
9Outside Box1
Passing
64%Possession36%
425Total Passes254
339Accurate Passes182
80%Pass Accuracy72%
Goalkeeping
1Saves3
-0.46Goals Prevented-0.46
Discipline
9Fouls14
2Yellow Cards5
0Offsides4

Match Recap: Godoy Cruz vs Gimnasia L.P.

Gimnasia L.P. beat Godoy Cruz 2-1 in Liga Profesional Argentina on August 7, 2025.

Goals: M. Panaro (27'), M. Torres (30'), A. Auzmendi (90').

Godoy Cruz controlled possession (64%) and registered 20 shots to 5.

The match was played at Estadio Feliciano Gambarte in Mendoza.