First Vienna 0–0 Stripfing: Result & Stats

First Vienna

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Stripfing

3/12/2022

Regionalliga - Ost · Ost - 14Naturarena Hohe Warte

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 25+ matches

First Vienna37%

×Draw24%

Stripfing39%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 582,215 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

First ViennaExpected goals in this matchStripfing

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.50

1.56

First Vienna

1.50

Stripfing

1.56

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 25 home / 39 away

2.20

creates per match

2.13

1.00

allows per match

0.79

creates per match

First Vienna

2.20

Stripfing

2.13

allows per match

First Vienna

1.00

Stripfing

0.79

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

First Vienna+0.00on par

Stripfing+0.00on par

Total goals

Over59
Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes61
No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

First Vienna ↓

Stripfing →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–17%

0–26%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–07%

1–111%

1–29%

1–34%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

81%19%2.5

59%41%3.5

36%64%4.5

19%81%

Double chance

First Vienna or draw

61%

First Vienna or Stripfing

76%

Draw or Stripfing

63%

Winning margin

First Vienna wins by 2+

17%

Stripfing wins by 2+

19%

Team goals

First Vienna 1+ goals

78%

First Vienna 2+ goals

44%

First Vienna 3+ goals

19%

Stripfing 1+ goals

79%

Stripfing 2+ goals

46%

Stripfing 3+ goals

21%

Draw no bet

First Vienna (draw refunded)

48%

Stripfing (draw refunded)

52%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

50%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

First Vienna at home — creates 2.20, concedes 1.00 · 25 matches

Stripfing away — creates 2.13, concedes 0.79 · 39 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

First Vienna attack 2.20 + Stripfing defence 0.79 → ÷2 → 1.50

Stripfing attack 2.13 + First Vienna defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.56

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

First Vienna scores more

37%

level

24%

Stripfing scores more

39%

Stripfing at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Stripfing will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

55'

N. Zatl← D. Luxbacher

58'

L. Edelhofer← M. Toth

65'

O. Fotr← C. Gartner

68'

M. Scherzadeh← N. Löffler

77'

J. Lenko

77'

J. Lenko

81'

Č. Bumbić← D. Alar

81'

M. Szotkowski← L. Grozurek

81'

B. Grozdić← N. Gatarić

First

Stripfing

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: A. Zellhofer

55'▲N. Zatl←▼D. Luxbacher

58'▲L. Edelhofer←▼M. Toth

81'▲Č. Bumbić←▼D. Alar

81'▲M. Szotkowski←▼L. Grozurek

First Vienna substitutes

ZatlEdelhoferBumbićSzotkowskiBacherKazan

Manager: J. Kleer

65'▲O. Fotr←▼C. Gartner

68'▲M. Scherzadeh←▼N. Löffler

81'▲B. Grozdić←▼N. Gatarić

Stripfing substitutes

FotrScherzadehGrozdićKretschmerMilosavljevićEler

Regionalliga - Ost: First Vienna 0–0 Stripfing

First Vienna and Stripfing drew 0-0 in Regionalliga - Ost on March 12, 2022.

The match was played at Naturarena Hohe Warte in Wien.

First Vienna vs Stripfing — Regionalliga - Ost 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Regionalliga - Ost: First Vienna 0–0 Stripfing