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First Vienna vs Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf — Friendlies Clubs 2026

First Vienna
First Vienna
CANC
00:00
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
1/24/2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3First Vienna Football Campus

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

First Vienna52%
×Draw19%
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 582,215 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

First Vienna
2.63
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
1.95

First Vienna creates 35% more chances

Season form · 23 home / 8 away

creates per match

First Vienna
3.26
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
2.25

allows per match

First Vienna
1.65
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
2.00

finishing

First Vienna+0.00on par
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf+0.00on par

Total goals

83%Over
  • Over83
  • Under17

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

79%Yes
  • Yes79
  • No21

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

First Vienna ↓

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–22%
0–31%
0–41%
1
1–03%
1–15%
1–25%
1–33%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–26%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–02%
4–14%
4–24%
4–33%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (7%) · grid covers 85% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
94%6%2.5
83%17%3.5
66%34%4.5
47%53%

Double chance

First Vienna or draw
71%
First Vienna or Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
81%
Draw or Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
48%

Winning margin

First Vienna wins by 2+
33%
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

First Vienna 1+ goals
93%
First Vienna 2+ goals
73%
First Vienna 3+ goals
48%
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 1+ goals
86%
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 2+ goals
58%
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 3+ goals
31%

Draw no bet

First Vienna (draw refunded)
64%
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
74%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

First Vienna at home — creates 3.26, concedes 1.65 · 23 matches

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf away — creates 2.25, concedes 2.00 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

First Vienna attack 3.26 + Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.63

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf attack 2.25 + First Vienna defence 1.65 → ÷2 → 1.95

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

First Vienna scores more
52%
level
19%
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf scores more
29%

First Vienna at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "First Vienna will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

First Vienna vs Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf — Match Preview

First Vienna face Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf on January 24, 2023 in this Friendlies Clubs fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

First Vienna host Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf at First Vienna Football Campus.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.