FF Jaro 1–1 Haka: Result & Stats | Friendlies Clubs

FF Jaro

FT

1 – 1

HT: 0 – 1

Haka

Unknown 63'

Unknown 16'

3/12/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

FF Jaro37%

×Draw27%

Haka36%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

FF JaroExpected goals in this matchHaka

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.25

1.23

FF Jaro

1.25

Haka

1.23

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 6 home / 10 away

1.50

creates per match

1.30

1.17

allows per match

1.00

creates per match

FF Jaro

1.50

Haka

1.30

allows per match

FF Jaro

1.17

Haka

1.00

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

FF Jaro+0.00on par

Haka+0.00on par

Total goals

Under55
Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No50
Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FF Jaro ↓

Haka →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–110%

0–26%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–113%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–18%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

71%29%2.5

45%55%3.5

24%76%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

FF Jaro or draw

64%

FF Jaro or Haka

73%

Draw or Haka

63%

Winning margin

FF Jaro wins by 2+

16%

Haka wins by 2+

15%

Team goals

FF Jaro 1+ goals

71%

FF Jaro 2+ goals

36%

FF Jaro 3+ goals

13%

Haka 1+ goals

71%

Haka 2+ goals

35%

Haka 3+ goals

13%

Draw no bet

FF Jaro (draw refunded)

51%

Haka (draw refunded)

49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

38%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FF Jaro at home — creates 1.50, concedes 1.17 · 6 matches

Haka away — creates 1.30, concedes 1.00 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FF Jaro attack 1.50 + Haka defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.25

Haka attack 1.30 + FF Jaro defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 37%?"

FF Jaro scores more

37%

level

27%

Haka scores more

36%

FF Jaro at 37% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 37% does not mean "FF Jaro will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

16'

63'

FF

Haka

2

3

5

6

8

9

12

16

17

30

77

1

2

3

4

5

8

11

9

10

15

Manager: Jens Karlsson

FF Jaro substitutes

36Finell12Snellman21Myrevik23Kass17Nyman27Vikstrom16Vidjeskog20Weckstrom28MendyPedersen

Haka substitutes

4Sovelius7Lahdensuo11Lanquedoc13Mahlamaki18Mattila20Rautio21Nurmi23Lehtinen32Slawuta

Match Recap: FF Jaro vs Haka

FF Jaro and Haka drew 1-1 in Friendlies Clubs on March 12, 2026.

Goals: ? (16', 63').

FF Jaro vs Haka — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: FF Jaro vs Haka