Scoreo

Feutcheu vs Fovu ClubElite Two 2020

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Feutcheu55%
×Draw24%
Fovu Club21%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Feutcheu
1.71
Fovu Club
0.97

Feutcheu creates 76% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 10 away

creates per match

Feutcheu
1.63
Fovu Club
0.70

allows per match

Feutcheu
1.25
Fovu Club
1.80

finishing

Feutcheu+0.00on par
Fovu Club+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

51%Yes
  • Yes51
  • No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Feutcheu

Fovu Club
0
1
2
3
4
0
007%
017%
023%
031%
040%
1
1012%
1111%
126%
132%
140%
2
2010%
2110%
225%
232%
240%
3
306%
316%
323%
331%
340%
4
402%
412%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Feutcheu or draw
79%
Feutcheu or Fovu Club
76%
Draw or Fovu Club
45%

Winning margin

Feutcheu wins by 2+
30%
Fovu Club wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Feutcheu 1+ goals
82%
Feutcheu 2+ goals
51%
Feutcheu 3+ goals
24%
Fovu Club 1+ goals
62%
Fovu Club 2+ goals
25%
Fovu Club 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Feutcheu (draw refunded)
72%
Fovu Club (draw refunded)
28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Feutcheu at homecreates 1.63, concedes 1.25 · 16 matches

Fovu Club awaycreates 0.70, concedes 1.80 · 10 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Feutcheu attack 1.63 + Fovu Club defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 1.71

Fovu Club attack 0.70 + Feutcheu defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 0.97

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Feutcheu scores more
55%
level
24%
Fovu Club scores more
21%

Feutcheu at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Feutcheu will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Feutcheu vs Fovu Club — Match Preview

Feutcheu face Fovu Club on April 30, 2025 in this Elite Two fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.