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FCSB vs CS Mioveni — Liga I 2026

FCSB
FCSB
FT
5 – 1
HT: 2 – 0
CS Mioveni
CS Mioveni
E. Rădăslăvescu 87'
A. Șut 77', 45'
F. Coman 58'
M. Edjouma 31'
L. Antal 74'
12/5/2022Liga ILiga I · Round 19Arena Naţională

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 42+ matches

FCSB58%
×Draw23%
CS Mioveni19%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FCSB
1.77
CS Mioveni
0.89

FCSB creates 99% more chances

Season form · 155 home / 42 away

creates per match

FCSB
1.85
CS Mioveni
0.79

allows per match

FCSB
0.98
CS Mioveni
1.69

finishing

FCSB+0.00on par
CS Mioveni+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FCSB ↓

CS Mioveni →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–111%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

FCSB or draw
81%
FCSB or CS Mioveni
77%
Draw or CS Mioveni
42%

Winning margin

FCSB wins by 2+
33%
CS Mioveni wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

FCSB 1+ goals
83%
FCSB 2+ goals
53%
FCSB 3+ goals
26%
CS Mioveni 1+ goals
59%
CS Mioveni 2+ goals
22%
CS Mioveni 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

FCSB (draw refunded)
76%
CS Mioveni (draw refunded)
24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FCSB at home — creates 1.85, concedes 0.98 · 155 matches

CS Mioveni away — creates 0.79, concedes 1.69 · 42 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FCSB attack 1.85 + CS Mioveni defence 1.69 → ÷2 → 1.77

CS Mioveni attack 0.79 + FCSB defence 0.98 → ÷2 → 0.89

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

FCSB scores more
58%
level
23%
CS Mioveni scores more
19%

FCSB at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "FCSB will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

25'
M. Edjouma← R. Oaidă
31'
M. Edjouma
34'
Joyskim Dawa Tchakonte
45+2'
Octavian Popescu
45'
A. Șut
46'
F. Coman← B. Omrani
46'
D. Miculescu← Octavian Popescu
46'
L. Antal← B. Krasniqi
46'
I. Burnea← R. Trif
58'
F. Coman↳ D. Olaru
64'
E. Rădăslăvescu← A. Cordea
71'
V. Coșereanu← I. Rădescu
71'
E. Dat← V. Pop
74'
L. Antal↳ C. Ene
77'
A. Șut↳ M. Edjouma
79'
B. Nikolov← A. Șut
87'
E. Rădăslăvescu↳ D. Olaru
88'
C. Andrei← N. Cârnat

Possession

70%FCSB

Shots

11FCSB

Statistics

FCSBCS
Overview
70%Possession30%
11Total Shots6
7Corners3
12Fouls15
Shots
11Total Shots6
6On Target2
5Off Target4
Passing
70%Possession30%
Goalkeeping
1Saves1
Discipline
12Fouls15
2Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0

Liga I: FCSB 5–1 CS Mioveni

FCSB beat CS Mioveni 5-1 in Liga I on December 5, 2022.

Goals: M. Edjouma (31'), A. Șut (45', 77'), F. Coman (58'), L. Antal (74'), E. Rădăslăvescu (87').

FCSB controlled possession (70%) and registered 11 shots to 6.

The match was played at Arena Naţională in Bucureşti.