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FC Zurich vs FC Schaffhausen — Friendlies Clubs 2026

FC Zurich
FC Zurich
FT
5 – 1
HT: 2 – 1
FC Schaffhausen
FC Schaffhausen
D. Afriyie 87', 68'
D. Avdijaj 57'
N. Boranijasevic 43'
J. Okita 25'
Unknown 2'
7/6/2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Sportanlage Heerenschürli

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 16+ matches

FC Zurich48%
×Draw20%
FC Schaffhausen33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Zurich
2.38
FC Schaffhausen
1.96

FC Zurich creates 21% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 16 away

creates per match

FC Zurich
2.20
FC Schaffhausen
1.81

allows per match

FC Zurich
2.10
FC Schaffhausen
2.56

finishing

FC Zurich+0.00on par
FC Schaffhausen+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 80Under: 2080%Over
  • Over80
  • Under20

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 78No: 2278%Yes
  • Yes78
  • No22

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Zurich ↓

FC Schaffhausen →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–13%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–03%
1–16%
1–26%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–26%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (7%) · grid covers 88% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
93%7%2.5
80%20%3.5
62%38%4.5
43%57%

Double chance

FC Zurich or draw
67%
FC Zurich or FC Schaffhausen
80%
Draw or FC Schaffhausen
52%

Winning margin

FC Zurich wins by 2+
29%
FC Schaffhausen wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

FC Zurich 1+ goals
91%
FC Zurich 2+ goals
68%
FC Zurich 3+ goals
42%
FC Schaffhausen 1+ goals
86%
FC Schaffhausen 2+ goals
58%
FC Schaffhausen 3+ goals
31%

Draw no bet

FC Zurich (draw refunded)
59%
FC Schaffhausen (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
72%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Zurich at home — creates 2.20, concedes 2.10 · 20 matches

FC Schaffhausen away — creates 1.81, concedes 2.56 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Zurich attack 2.20 + FC Schaffhausen defence 2.56 → ÷2 → 2.38

FC Schaffhausen attack 1.81 + FC Zurich defence 2.10 → ÷2 → 1.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

FC Zurich scores more
48%
level
20%
FC Schaffhausen scores more
33%

FC Zurich at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "FC Zurich will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

2'
25'
J. Okita
43'
N. Boranijasevic
57'
D. Avdijaj
68'
D. Afriyie
87'
D. Afriyie

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: FC Zurich 5–1 FC Schaffhausen

FC Zurich beat FC Schaffhausen 5-1 in Friendlies Clubs on July 6, 2023.

Goals: ? (2'), J. Okita (25'), N. Boranijasevic (43'), D. Avdijaj (57'), D. Afriyie (68', 87').

The match was played at Sportanlage Heerenschürli in Zürich.