Scoreo

FC Schaffhausen vs FC ZurichFriendlies Clubs 2026

6/12/2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3LIPO Park Schaffhausen

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

FC Schaffhausen24%
×Draw18%
FC Zurich58%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Schaffhausen
1.77
FC Zurich
2.74

FC Zurich creates 55% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 13 away

creates per match

FC Schaffhausen
2.00
FC Zurich
3.15

allows per match

FC Schaffhausen
2.33
FC Zurich
1.54

finishing

FC Schaffhausen+0.00on par
FC Zurich+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 82Under: 1882%Over
  • Over82
  • Under18

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 77No: 2377%Yes
  • Yes77
  • No23

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Schaffhausen

FC Zurich
0
1
2
3
4
0
001%
013%
024%
034%
043%
1
102%
115%
127%
137%
145%
2
202%
215%
227%
236%
244%
3
301%
313%
324%
334%
342%
4
400%
411%
422%
432%
441%

Most likely 1–2 (7%) · grid covers 85% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
94%6%2.5
82%18%3.5
65%35%4.5
46%54%

Double chance

FC Schaffhausen or draw
42%
FC Schaffhausen or FC Zurich
82%
Draw or FC Zurich
76%

Winning margin

FC Schaffhausen wins by 2+
12%
FC Zurich wins by 2+
38%

Team goals

FC Schaffhausen 1+ goals
83%
FC Schaffhausen 2+ goals
53%
FC Schaffhausen 3+ goals
26%
FC Zurich 1+ goals
93%
FC Zurich 2+ goals
75%
FC Zurich 3+ goals
51%

Draw no bet

FC Schaffhausen (draw refunded)
30%
FC Zurich (draw refunded)
70%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
72%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Schaffhausen at homecreates 2.00, concedes 2.33 · 3 matches

FC Zurich awaycreates 3.15, concedes 1.54 · 13 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Schaffhausen attack 2.00 + FC Zurich defence 1.54 → ÷2 → 1.77

FC Zurich attack 3.15 + FC Schaffhausen defence 2.33 → ÷2 → 2.74

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

FC Schaffhausen scores more
24%
level
18%
FC Zurich scores more
58%

FC Zurich at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "FC Zurich will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: FC Schaffhausen 0–6 FC Zurich

FC Zurich beat FC Schaffhausen 6-0 in Friendlies Clubs on June 12, 2020.

The match was played at LIPO Park Schaffhausen in Schaffhausen.