FC Luzern 6–0 Grasshoppers: Result & Stats

FC Luzern

FT

6 – 0

HT: 3 – 0

Grasshoppers

K. Spadanuda 73'

A. Grbic 71'

M. Di Giusto 66', 18' (pen)

J. Von Moos 40'

A. Bajrami 27'

11/2/2025

Super League · Round 12Swissporarena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 21+ matches

FC Luzern48%

×Draw21%

Grasshoppers31%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

FC LuzernExpected goals in this matchGrasshoppers

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.04

1.60

FC Luzern

2.04

Grasshoppers

1.60

FC Luzern creates 27% more chances

Season form · 21 home / 27 away

2.19

creates per match

1.11

2.10

allows per match

1.89

creates per match

FC Luzern

2.19

Grasshoppers

1.11

allows per match

FC Luzern

2.10

Grasshoppers

1.89

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

FC Luzern+0.00on par

Grasshoppers+0.00on par

Total goals

Over70
Under30

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes69
No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Luzern ↓

Grasshoppers →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–14%

0–23%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–05%

1–19%

1–27%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–05%

2–19%

2–27%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–25%

3–33%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

88%12%2.5

70%30%3.5

49%51%4.5

30%70%

Double chance

FC Luzern or draw

69%

FC Luzern or Grasshoppers

79%

Draw or Grasshoppers

52%

Winning margin

FC Luzern wins by 2+

27%

Grasshoppers wins by 2+

15%

Team goals

FC Luzern 1+ goals

87%

FC Luzern 2+ goals

60%

FC Luzern 3+ goals

33%

Grasshoppers 1+ goals

80%

Grasshoppers 2+ goals

47%

Grasshoppers 3+ goals

22%

Draw no bet

FC Luzern (draw refunded)

61%

Grasshoppers (draw refunded)

39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

61%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Luzern at home — creates 2.19, concedes 2.10 · 21 matches

Grasshoppers away — creates 1.11, concedes 1.89 · 27 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Luzern attack 2.19 + Grasshoppers defence 1.89 → ÷2 → 2.04

Grasshoppers attack 1.11 + FC Luzern defence 2.10 → ÷2 → 1.60

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

FC Luzern scores more

48%

level

21%

Grasshoppers scores more

31%

FC Luzern at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "FC Luzern will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

11

M. Di Giusto

FC Luzern · M

9.3

Match Events

16'

Oscar Kabwit TshikombPenalty confirmed

17'

Dorian Paloschi

18'

M. Di GiustoPenalty

27'

A. Bajrami↳ M. Di Giusto

30'

Adrian Bajrami

39'

Matteo Mantini

40'

J. Von Moos

53'

A. Grbic← J. Von Moos

54'

S. Decarli← D. Paloschi

62'

K. Spadanuda← O. Kabwit

62'

A. Ciganiks← B. Freimann

66'

M. Di Giusto

67'

N. Muci← O. Clemente

67'

S. Diarrassouba← L. Plange

67'

S. Krasniqi← S. Marques

71'

A. Grbic↳ T. Owusu

73'

K. Spadanuda↳ L. M. Silva Ferreira

77'

S. Karweina← M. Di Giusto

77'

D. Xhemalija← T. Owusu

80'

Hassane Imourane

84'

L. Giandomenico← M. Mantini

90'

Sinan Karweina

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

FCGrasshoppers

Overview

46%Possession54%

14Total Shots14

2.57Expected Goals (xG)0.82

3Corners3

11Fouls18

Shots

14Total Shots14

9On Target3

4Off Target7

1Blocked4

10Inside Box5

4Outside Box9

Passing

46%Possession54%

307Total Passes354

213Accurate Passes243

69%Pass Accuracy69%

Goalkeeping

3Saves3

Discipline

11Fouls18

2Yellow Cards3

3Offsides2