Scoreo

FC Helsingor vs AB CopenhagenFriendlies Clubs 2026

7/16/2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Helsingør Ny Stadion OPV

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

FC Helsingor55%
×Draw21%
AB Copenhagen23%
Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Helsingor
2.04
AB Copenhagen
1.25

FC Helsingor creates 63% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 12 away

creates per match

FC Helsingor
2.82
AB Copenhagen
1.58

allows per match

FC Helsingor
0.91
AB Copenhagen
1.25

finishing

FC Helsingor+0.00on par
AB Copenhagen+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Helsingor

AB Copenhagen
0
1
2
3
4
0
004%
015%
023%
031%
040%
1
108%
1110%
126%
132%
141%
2
208%
2110%
226%
233%
241%
3
305%
317%
324%
332%
341%
4
403%
413%
422%
431%
440%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
41%59%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

FC Helsingor or draw
77%
FC Helsingor or AB Copenhagen
79%
Draw or AB Copenhagen
45%

Winning margin

FC Helsingor wins by 2+
33%
AB Copenhagen wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

FC Helsingor 1+ goals
87%
FC Helsingor 2+ goals
60%
FC Helsingor 3+ goals
33%
AB Copenhagen 1+ goals
71%
AB Copenhagen 2+ goals
36%
AB Copenhagen 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

FC Helsingor (draw refunded)
71%
AB Copenhagen (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Helsingor at homecreates 2.82, concedes 0.91 · 11 matches

AB Copenhagen awaycreates 1.58, concedes 1.25 · 12 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Helsingor attack 2.82 + AB Copenhagen defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 2.04

AB Copenhagen attack 1.58 + FC Helsingor defence 0.91 → ÷2 → 1.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

FC Helsingor scores more
55%
level
21%
AB Copenhagen scores more
23%

FC Helsingor at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "FC Helsingor will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

FC Helsingor face AB Copenhagen (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with FC Helsingor hosting AB Copenhagen. Match starts July 16, 2022. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

FC Helsingor host AB Copenhagen at Helsingør Ny Stadion OPV.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.