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FC Gutersloh vs Preußen Münster II — Friendlies Clubs 2026

FC Gutersloh
FC Gutersloh
FT
2 – 2
HT: 1 – 0
Preußen Münster II
Preußen Münster II
1/13/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Kunstrasenplatz SZ Süd FC Güteresloh

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

FC Gutersloh47%
×Draw19%
Preußen Münster II33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Gutersloh
2.44
Preußen Münster II
2.05

FC Gutersloh creates 19% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 5 away

creates per match

FC Gutersloh
1.89
Preußen Münster II
2.00

allows per match

FC Gutersloh
2.11
Preußen Münster II
3.00

finishing

FC Gutersloh+0.00on par
Preußen Münster II+0.00on par

Total goals

82%Over
  • Over82
  • Under18

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

79%Yes
  • Yes79
  • No21

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Gutersloh ↓

Preußen Münster II →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–22%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–03%
1–16%
1–26%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–03%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–26%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–24%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (7%) · grid covers 86% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
94%6%2.5
82%18%3.5
65%35%4.5
46%54%

Double chance

FC Gutersloh or draw
67%
FC Gutersloh or Preußen Münster II
81%
Draw or Preußen Münster II
53%

Winning margin

FC Gutersloh wins by 2+
28%
Preußen Münster II wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

FC Gutersloh 1+ goals
91%
FC Gutersloh 2+ goals
70%
FC Gutersloh 3+ goals
43%
Preußen Münster II 1+ goals
87%
Preußen Münster II 2+ goals
61%
Preußen Münster II 3+ goals
33%

Draw no bet

FC Gutersloh (draw refunded)
59%
Preußen Münster II (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
74%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Gutersloh at home — creates 1.89, concedes 2.11 · 9 matches

Preußen Münster II away — creates 2.00, concedes 3.00 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Gutersloh attack 1.89 + Preußen Münster II defence 3.00 → ÷2 → 2.44

Preußen Münster II attack 2.00 + FC Gutersloh defence 2.11 → ÷2 → 2.05

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

FC Gutersloh scores more
47%
level
19%
Preußen Münster II scores more
33%

FC Gutersloh at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "FC Gutersloh will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: FC Gutersloh vs Preußen Münster II

FC Gutersloh and Preußen Münster II drew 2-2 in Friendlies Clubs on January 13, 2024.

The match was played at Kunstrasenplatz SZ Süd FC Güteresloh in Gütersloh.