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Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98 — 2. Bundesliga 2018

Eintracht Braunschweig
Eintracht Braunschweig
FT
2 – 2
HT: 2 – 0
SV Darmstadt 98
SV Darmstadt 98
J. Gomez 45'
M. Aydin 41' (pen)
M. Maglica 78', 56'
2/14/20262. Bundesliga2. Bundesliga · Round 22Eintracht-Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 10+ matches

Eintracht Braunschweig43%
×Draw23%
SV Darmstadt 9834%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Eintracht Braunschweig
1.69
SV Darmstadt 98
1.48

Eintracht Braunschweig creates 14% more chances

Season form · 12 home / 10 away

creates per match

Eintracht Braunschweig
1.56
SV Darmstadt 98
1.48

allows per match

Eintracht Braunschweig
1.48
SV Darmstadt 98
1.82

finishing

Eintracht Braunschweig-0.31scores less
SV Darmstadt 98+0.02on par

Total goals

61%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Eintracht Braunschweig ↓

SV Darmstadt 98 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
61%39%3.5
39%61%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

Eintracht Braunschweig or draw
66%
Eintracht Braunschweig or SV Darmstadt 98
77%
Draw or SV Darmstadt 98
57%

Winning margin

Eintracht Braunschweig wins by 2+
22%
SV Darmstadt 98 wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Eintracht Braunschweig 1+ goals
82%
Eintracht Braunschweig 2+ goals
50%
Eintracht Braunschweig 3+ goals
24%
SV Darmstadt 98 1+ goals
77%
SV Darmstadt 98 2+ goals
43%
SV Darmstadt 98 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

Eintracht Braunschweig (draw refunded)
56%
SV Darmstadt 98 (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Eintracht Braunschweig at home — creates 1.56, concedes 1.48 · 12 matches

SV Darmstadt 98 away — creates 1.48, concedes 1.82 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Eintracht Braunschweig attack 1.56 + SV Darmstadt 98 defence 1.82 → ÷2 → 1.69

SV Darmstadt 98 attack 1.48 + Eintracht Braunschweig defence 1.48 → ÷2 → 1.48

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Eintracht Braunschweig scores more
43%
level
23%
SV Darmstadt 98 scores more
34%

Eintracht Braunschweig at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Eintracht Braunschweig will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

5
M. MaglicaSV Darmstadt 98SV Darmstadt 98 · D
9.2

Match Events

35'
Mehmet Aydın
41'
M. AydinPenalty
45'
J. Gomez↳ P. Nkoa
46'
N. Schmidt← H. Akiyama
51'
Niklas Schmidt
56'
M. Maglica↳ S. Lopez
58'
E. Yardimci← J. Mijatovic
70'
F. Flick← M. Aydin
70'
G. Ranos← A. Opoku
73'
F. Holland← F. Nurnberger
73'
F. Lakenmacher← M. Papela
78'
M. Maglica↳ K. Corredor
84'
F. Di Michele Sanchez← L. Bell Bell
84'
S. Sane← R. Heusser
90+4'
A. Vukotic← M. Richter
90+3'
Y. Furukawa← K. Corredor

Possession

37%Eintracht

Shots

15Eintracht

Pass accuracy

45%Eintracht

Statistics

EintrachtSV
Overview
37%Possession63%
15Total Shots12
1.97Expected Goals (xG)1.34
6Corners7
10Fouls7
Shots
15Total Shots12
6On Target5
6Off Target2
3Blocked5
8Inside Box8
7Outside Box4
Passing
37%Possession63%
301Total Passes542
211Accurate Passes459
70%Pass Accuracy85%
Goalkeeping
3Saves4
0.09Goals Prevented0.09
Discipline
10Fouls7
1Yellow Cards1
1Offsides2

2. Bundesliga: Eintracht Braunschweig 2–2 SV Darmstadt 98

Eintracht Braunschweig and SV Darmstadt 98 drew 2-2 in 2. Bundesliga on February 14, 2026.

Goals: M. Aydin (41' pen), J. Gomez (45'), M. Maglica (56', 78').

SV Darmstadt 98 controlled possession (63%) and registered 12 shots to 15.

The match was played at Eintracht-Stadion in Braunschweig.