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Eintracht Braunschweig vs Havelse — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Eintracht Braunschweig
Eintracht Braunschweig
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Havelse
Havelse
7/14/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Eintracht Braunschweig41%
×Draw21%
Havelse38%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Eintracht Braunschweig
2.08
Havelse
2.00

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 14 home / 13 away

creates per match

Eintracht Braunschweig
1.86
Havelse
3.00

allows per match

Eintracht Braunschweig
1.00
Havelse
2.31

finishing

Eintracht Braunschweig+0.00on par
Havelse+0.00on par

Total goals

77%Over
  • Over77
  • Under23

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

76%Yes
  • Yes76
  • No24

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Eintracht Braunschweig ↓

Havelse →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–04%
1–17%
1–27%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–25%
3–33%
3–42%
4
4–01%
4–13%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (7%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
77%23%3.5
58%42%4.5
38%62%

Double chance

Eintracht Braunschweig or draw
62%
Eintracht Braunschweig or Havelse
79%
Draw or Havelse
59%

Winning margin

Eintracht Braunschweig wins by 2+
23%
Havelse wins by 2+
21%

Team goals

Eintracht Braunschweig 1+ goals
87%
Eintracht Braunschweig 2+ goals
61%
Eintracht Braunschweig 3+ goals
34%
Havelse 1+ goals
86%
Havelse 2+ goals
59%
Havelse 3+ goals
32%

Draw no bet

Eintracht Braunschweig (draw refunded)
52%
Havelse (draw refunded)
48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
68%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Eintracht Braunschweig at home — creates 1.86, concedes 1.00 · 14 matches

Havelse away — creates 3.00, concedes 2.31 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Eintracht Braunschweig attack 1.86 + Havelse defence 2.31 → ÷2 → 2.08

Havelse attack 3.00 + Eintracht Braunschweig defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 2.00

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Eintracht Braunschweig scores more
41%
level
21%
Havelse scores more
38%

Eintracht Braunschweig at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Eintracht Braunschweig will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Eintracht
Havelse
Lars Kornetka
Manager: Lars Kornetka
Samir Ferchichi
Manager: Samir Ferchichi

Friendlies Clubs: Eintracht Braunschweig 2–1 Havelse

Eintracht Braunschweig beat Havelse 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on July 14, 2026.