Scoreo

Eintracht Braunschweig vs HavelseLeague #80 2026

Eintracht Braunschweig
Eintracht Braunschweig
FT
32
HT: 11
Havelse
Havelse
J. Marx 90+1'
T. Fölster 64' (OG), 34' (OG)
I. Qela 90'
4/2/2022League #80League #80 · Round 32Eintracht-Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Eintracht Braunschweig64%
×Draw18%
Havelse18%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Eintracht Braunschweig
2.62
Havelse
1.33

Eintracht Braunschweig creates 97% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 5 away

creates per match

Eintracht Braunschweig
2.44
Havelse
1.00

allows per match

Eintracht Braunschweig
1.67
Havelse
2.80

finishing

Eintracht Braunschweig+0.00on par
Havelse+0.00on par

Total goals

75%Over
  • Over75
  • Under25

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

68%Yes
  • Yes68
  • No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Eintracht Braunschweig

Havelse
0
1
2
3
4
0
002%
013%
022%
031%
040%
1
105%
117%
125%
132%
141%
2
207%
219%
226%
233%
241%
3
306%
318%
325%
332%
341%
4
404%
415%
423%
432%
441%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 88% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
90%10%2.5
75%25%3.5
55%45%4.5
35%65%

Double chance

Eintracht Braunschweig or draw
82%
Eintracht Braunschweig or Havelse
82%
Draw or Havelse
36%

Winning margin

Eintracht Braunschweig wins by 2+
43%
Havelse wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Eintracht Braunschweig 1+ goals
93%
Eintracht Braunschweig 2+ goals
73%
Eintracht Braunschweig 3+ goals
48%
Havelse 1+ goals
74%
Havelse 2+ goals
38%
Havelse 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Eintracht Braunschweig (draw refunded)
78%
Havelse (draw refunded)
22%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
61%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Eintracht Braunschweig at homecreates 2.44, concedes 1.67 · 9 matches

Havelse awaycreates 1.00, concedes 2.80 · 5 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Eintracht Braunschweig attack 2.44 + Havelse defence 2.80 → ÷2 → 2.62

Havelse attack 1.00 + Eintracht Braunschweig defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 64%?"

Eintracht Braunschweig scores more
64%
level
18%
Havelse scores more
18%

Eintracht Braunschweig at 64% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 64% does not mean "Eintracht Braunschweig will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Possession

65%Eintracht

Shots

17Eintracht

Statistics

EintrachtHavelse
Overview
65%Possession35%
17Total Shots8
8Corners1
10Fouls16
Shots
17Total Shots8
5On Target6
12Off Target2
Passing
65%Possession35%
Goalkeeping
4Saves4
Discipline
10Fouls16
0Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
3Offsides1

Match Recap: Eintracht Braunschweig vs Havelse

Eintracht Braunschweig beat Havelse 3-2 in League #80 on April 2, 2022.

Goals: T. Fölster (34' o.g., 64' o.g.), F. Lakenmacher (44'), I. Qela (90'), J. Marx (90+1').

Eintracht Braunschweig controlled possession (65%) and registered 17 shots to 8.

The match was played at Eintracht-Stadion in Braunschweig.