Eintracht Braunsch U19 0–2 Wolfsburg U19

Eintracht Braunsch U19

FT

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 0

Wolfsburg U19

M. Herrmann 90+7'

A. Børset 82'

4/7/2024

U19 Bundesliga · Nord / Nordost - 21Sportpark Kennel

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 39+ matches

Eintracht Braunsch U1926%

×Draw20%

Wolfsburg U1954%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Eintracht Braunsch U19Expected goals in this matchWolfsburg U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.65

2.40

Eintracht Braunsch U19

1.65

Wolfsburg U19

2.40

Wolfsburg U19 creates 45% more chances

Season form · 39 home / 70 away

2.08

creates per match

2.30

2.49

allows per match

1.21

creates per match

Eintracht Braunsch U19

2.08

Wolfsburg U19

2.30

allows per match

Eintracht Braunsch U19

2.49

Wolfsburg U19

1.21

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Eintracht Braunsch U19+0.00on par

Wolfsburg U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over77
Under23

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes73
No27

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Eintracht Braunsch U19 ↓

Wolfsburg U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–14%

0–25%

0–34%

0–42%

1

1–03%

1–17%

1–28%

1–37%

1–44%

2

2–02%

2–16%

2–27%

2–36%

2–43%

3

3–01%

3–13%

3–24%

3–33%

3–42%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–22%

4–31%

4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (8%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

91%9%2.5

77%23%3.5

57%43%4.5

37%63%

Double chance

Eintracht Braunsch U19 or draw

46%

Eintracht Braunsch U19 or Wolfsburg U19

80%

Draw or Wolfsburg U19

74%

Winning margin

Eintracht Braunsch U19 wins by 2+

12%

Wolfsburg U19 wins by 2+

34%

Team goals

Eintracht Braunsch U19 1+ goals

81%

Eintracht Braunsch U19 2+ goals

49%

Eintracht Braunsch U19 3+ goals

23%

Wolfsburg U19 1+ goals

91%

Wolfsburg U19 2+ goals

69%

Wolfsburg U19 3+ goals

42%

Draw no bet

Eintracht Braunsch U19 (draw refunded)

33%

Wolfsburg U19 (draw refunded)

67%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

66%

Both score & under 3

7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Eintracht Braunsch U19 at home — creates 2.08, concedes 2.49 · 39 matches

Wolfsburg U19 away — creates 2.30, concedes 1.21 · 70 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Eintracht Braunsch U19 attack 2.08 + Wolfsburg U19 defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.65

Wolfsburg U19 attack 2.30 + Eintracht Braunsch U19 defence 2.49 → ÷2 → 2.40

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Eintracht Braunsch U19 scores more

26%

level

20%

Wolfsburg U19 scores more

54%

Wolfsburg U19 at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Wolfsburg U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

46'

M. Herrmann← David Leal Costa

55'

L. Schneider← L. Grobauer

71'

O. Bosacki← K. Szczerba

77'

E. Aslanidis← D. Pejčinović

82'

A. Børset

83'

O. Prokopp← P. Hensel

86'

K. Yotasong← K. Hüneburg

90+3'

T. Benedict← J. Akaegbobi

90+7'

M. Herrmann

Eintracht

Wolfsburg

▼

⚽

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: J. Stephan

55'▲L. Schneider←▼L. Grobauer

71'▲O. Bosacki←▼K. Szczerba

86'▲K. Yotasong←▼K. Hüneburg

Eintracht Braunsch U19 substitutes

SchneiderBosackiYotasongKarepiMeinhardtKlipphahnZiegele

Manager: D. Bauer

46'▲M. Herrmann←▼David Leal Costa

77'▲E. Aslanidis←▼D. Pejčinović

83'▲O. Prokopp←▼P. Hensel

90+3'▲T. Benedict←▼J. Akaegbobi

Wolfsburg U19 substitutes

HerrmannAslanidisProkoppBenedictCostaJasińskiSouliotis

U19 Bundesliga: Eintracht Braunsch U19 0–2 Wolfsburg U19

Wolfsburg U19 beat Eintracht Braunsch U19 2-0 in U19 Bundesliga on April 7, 2024.

Goals: A. Børset (82'), M. Herrmann (90+7').

The match was played at Sportpark Kennel in Braunschweig.

Eintracht Braunsch U19 vs Wolfsburg U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

U19 Bundesliga: Eintracht Braunsch U19 0–2 Wolfsburg U19