Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Zemplín Michalovce — League #332 2026

Dukla Banská Bystrica
Dukla Banská Bystrica
FT
1 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Zemplín Michalovce
Zemplín Michalovce
M. Rymarenko 9'
10/6/2024League #332League #332 · Round 10Štadión SNP Štiavničky

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Dukla Banská Bystrica34%
×Draw24%
Zemplín Michalovce42%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.45
Zemplín Michalovce
1.62

Zemplín Michalovce creates 12% more chances

Season form · 25 home / 10 away

creates per match

Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.40
Zemplín Michalovce
1.40

allows per match

Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.84
Zemplín Michalovce
1.50

finishing

Dukla Banská Bystrica+0.00on par
Zemplín Michalovce+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dukla Banská Bystrica ↓

Zemplín Michalovce →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–18%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
37%63%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Dukla Banská Bystrica or draw
58%
Dukla Banská Bystrica or Zemplín Michalovce
76%
Draw or Zemplín Michalovce
66%

Winning margin

Dukla Banská Bystrica wins by 2+
16%
Zemplín Michalovce wins by 2+
21%

Team goals

Dukla Banská Bystrica 1+ goals
77%
Dukla Banská Bystrica 2+ goals
42%
Dukla Banská Bystrica 3+ goals
18%
Zemplín Michalovce 1+ goals
80%
Zemplín Michalovce 2+ goals
48%
Zemplín Michalovce 3+ goals
22%

Draw no bet

Dukla Banská Bystrica (draw refunded)
45%
Zemplín Michalovce (draw refunded)
55%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dukla Banská Bystrica at home — creates 1.40, concedes 1.84 · 25 matches

Zemplín Michalovce away — creates 1.40, concedes 1.50 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dukla Banská Bystrica attack 1.40 + Zemplín Michalovce defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.45

Zemplín Michalovce attack 1.40 + Dukla Banská Bystrica defence 1.84 → ÷2 → 1.62

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Dukla Banská Bystrica scores more
34%
level
24%
Zemplín Michalovce scores more
42%

Zemplín Michalovce at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Zemplín Michalovce will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

41
Ľ. WillwéberDukla Banská BystricaDukla Banská Bystrica · D
7.9

Match Events

9'
M. Rymarenko↳ D. Veselovský
17'
Franck Bahi
45+2'
Matúš MarcinGoal cancelled
52'
Enzo Arevalo
56'
Tomáš Malec
61'
Eduvie Ikoba
65'
I. Žofčák← E. Arevalo
66'
E. Pačinda← E. Ikoba
66'
S. Danko← Y. Shimamura
73'
Timotej Záhumenský
75'
B. Petrák← D. Veselovský
75'
M. Pišoja← N. Šikula
81'
T. Slebodník← T. Malec
85'
A. Žulevič← A. Zubairu
89'
A. Hanes← M. Rymarenko
90+2'
Alexandros Kyziridis

Possession

38%Dukla

Shots

8Dukla

Pass accuracy

45%Dukla

Statistics

DuklaZemplín
Overview
38%Possession62%
8Total Shots18
1Corners5
13Fouls19
Shots
8Total Shots18
3On Target5
1Off Target5
4Blocked8
4Inside Box9
4Outside Box9
Passing
38%Possession62%
317Total Passes511
209Accurate Passes418
66%Pass Accuracy82%
Goalkeeping
5Saves2
Discipline
13Fouls19
2Yellow Cards4
4Offsides2

Match Recap: Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Zemplín Michalovce

Dukla Banská Bystrica beat Zemplín Michalovce 1-0 in League #332 on October 6, 2024.

Goals: M. Rymarenko (9').

Zemplín Michalovce controlled possession (62%) and registered 18 shots to 8.

The match was played at Štadión SNP Štiavničky in Banská Bystrica.