Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Doxa Dramas vs Poseidon Nea Michaniona — League #576 2026

Doxa Dramas
Doxa Dramas
FT
4 – 2
HT: 1 – 1
Poseidon Nea Michaniona
Poseidon Nea Michaniona
11/2/2025League #576League #576 · Group 1 - 7

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Doxa Dramas62%
×Draw17%
Poseidon Nea Michaniona21%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Doxa Dramas
2.96
Poseidon Nea Michaniona
1.71

Doxa Dramas creates 73% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 3 away

creates per match

Doxa Dramas
3.25
Poseidon Nea Michaniona
1.67

allows per match

Doxa Dramas
1.75
Poseidon Nea Michaniona
2.67

finishing

Doxa Dramas+0.00on par
Poseidon Nea Michaniona+0.00on par

Total goals

84%Over
  • Over84
  • Under16

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

77%Yes
  • Yes77
  • No23

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Doxa Dramas ↓

Poseidon Nea Michaniona →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–21%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–03%
1–15%
1–24%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–04%
3–17%
3–26%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–15%
4–25%
4–33%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (7%) · grid covers 82% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
95%5%2.5
84%16%3.5
67%33%4.5
48%52%

Double chance

Doxa Dramas or draw
79%
Doxa Dramas or Poseidon Nea Michaniona
83%
Draw or Poseidon Nea Michaniona
38%

Winning margin

Doxa Dramas wins by 2+
43%
Poseidon Nea Michaniona wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Doxa Dramas 1+ goals
95%
Doxa Dramas 2+ goals
79%
Doxa Dramas 3+ goals
55%
Poseidon Nea Michaniona 1+ goals
82%
Poseidon Nea Michaniona 2+ goals
51%
Poseidon Nea Michaniona 3+ goals
24%

Draw no bet

Doxa Dramas (draw refunded)
75%
Poseidon Nea Michaniona (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
73%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Doxa Dramas at home — creates 3.25, concedes 1.75 · 4 matches

Poseidon Nea Michaniona away — creates 1.67, concedes 2.67 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Doxa Dramas attack 3.25 + Poseidon Nea Michaniona defence 2.67 → ÷2 → 2.96

Poseidon Nea Michaniona attack 1.67 + Doxa Dramas defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.71

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Doxa Dramas scores more
62%
level
17%
Poseidon Nea Michaniona scores more
21%

Doxa Dramas at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Doxa Dramas will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

League #576: Doxa Dramas 4–2 Poseidon Nea Michaniona

Doxa Dramas beat Poseidon Nea Michaniona 4-2 in League #576 on November 2, 2025.