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Dinamo Bucuresti vs CFR 1907 Cluj — Liga I 2026

Dinamo Bucuresti
Dinamo Bucuresti
FT
2 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
CFR 1907 Cluj
CFR 1907 Cluj
10/31/2025Liga ILiga I · Round 15Stadionul Arcul de Triumf

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 136+ matches

Dinamo Bucuresti33%
×Draw28%
CFR 1907 Cluj39%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dinamo Bucuresti
1.11
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.25

CFR 1907 Cluj creates 13% more chances

Season form · 136 home / 154 away

creates per match

Dinamo Bucuresti
1.28
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.47

allows per match

Dinamo Bucuresti
1.02
CFR 1907 Cluj
0.95

finishing

Dinamo Bucuresti+0.00on par
CFR 1907 Cluj+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Under
  • Under58
  • Over42

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

52%No
  • No52
  • Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dinamo Bucuresti ↓

CFR 1907 Cluj →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–112%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–17%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
68%32%2.5
42%58%3.5
21%79%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

Dinamo Bucuresti or draw
61%
Dinamo Bucuresti or CFR 1907 Cluj
72%
Draw or CFR 1907 Cluj
67%

Winning margin

Dinamo Bucuresti wins by 2+
13%
CFR 1907 Cluj wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Dinamo Bucuresti 1+ goals
67%
Dinamo Bucuresti 2+ goals
30%
Dinamo Bucuresti 3+ goals
10%
CFR 1907 Cluj 1+ goals
71%
CFR 1907 Cluj 2+ goals
36%
CFR 1907 Cluj 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Dinamo Bucuresti (draw refunded)
45%
CFR 1907 Cluj (draw refunded)
55%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
35%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dinamo Bucuresti at home — creates 1.28, concedes 1.02 · 136 matches

CFR 1907 Cluj away — creates 1.47, concedes 0.95 · 154 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dinamo Bucuresti attack 1.28 + CFR 1907 Cluj defence 0.95 → ÷2 → 1.11

CFR 1907 Cluj attack 1.47 + Dinamo Bucuresti defence 1.02 → ÷2 → 1.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Dinamo Bucuresti scores more
33%
level
28%
CFR 1907 Cluj scores more
39%

CFR 1907 Cluj at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "CFR 1907 Cluj will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Liga I: Dinamo Bucuresti 2–1 CFR 1907 Cluj

Dinamo Bucuresti beat CFR 1907 Cluj 2-1 in Liga I on October 31, 2025.

The match was played at Stadionul Arcul de Triumf in Bucharest.