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CFR 1907 Cluj vs Dinamo Bucuresti — Liga I 2026

CFR 1907 Cluj
CFR 1907 Cluj
FT
2 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Dinamo Bucuresti
Dinamo Bucuresti
3/9/2026Liga ILiga I · Round 30Stadionul Dr. Constantin Radulescu

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 138+ matches

CFR 1907 Cluj58%
×Draw24%
Dinamo Bucuresti19%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

CFR 1907 Cluj
1.72
Dinamo Bucuresti
0.86

CFR 1907 Cluj creates 100% more chances

Season form · 156 home / 138 away

creates per match

CFR 1907 Cluj
1.81
Dinamo Bucuresti
0.99

allows per match

CFR 1907 Cluj
0.74
Dinamo Bucuresti
1.62

finishing

CFR 1907 Cluj+0.00on par
Dinamo Bucuresti+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Under
  • Under52
  • Over48

Close call

Both teams score

53%No
  • No53
  • Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

CFR 1907 Cluj ↓

Dinamo Bucuresti →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–17%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–111%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
73%27%2.5
48%52%3.5
26%74%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

CFR 1907 Cluj or draw
81%
CFR 1907 Cluj or Dinamo Bucuresti
76%
Draw or Dinamo Bucuresti
42%

Winning margin

CFR 1907 Cluj wins by 2+
32%
Dinamo Bucuresti wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

CFR 1907 Cluj 1+ goals
82%
CFR 1907 Cluj 2+ goals
51%
CFR 1907 Cluj 3+ goals
25%
Dinamo Bucuresti 1+ goals
58%
Dinamo Bucuresti 2+ goals
21%
Dinamo Bucuresti 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

CFR 1907 Cluj (draw refunded)
76%
Dinamo Bucuresti (draw refunded)
24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
36%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

CFR 1907 Cluj at home — creates 1.81, concedes 0.74 · 156 matches

Dinamo Bucuresti away — creates 0.99, concedes 1.62 · 138 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

CFR 1907 Cluj attack 1.81 + Dinamo Bucuresti defence 1.62 → ÷2 → 1.72

Dinamo Bucuresti attack 0.99 + CFR 1907 Cluj defence 0.74 → ÷2 → 0.86

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

CFR 1907 Cluj scores more
58%
level
24%
Dinamo Bucuresti scores more
19%

CFR 1907 Cluj at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "CFR 1907 Cluj will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Liga I: CFR 1907 Cluj 2–0 Dinamo Bucuresti

CFR 1907 Cluj beat Dinamo Bucuresti 2-0 in Liga I on March 9, 2026.

The match was played at Stadionul Dr. Constantin Radulescu in Cluj-Napoca.