Dibba Al-Fujairah 1–0 Gulf Heroes: Result & Stats

Dibba Al-Fujairah

FT

1 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Gulf Heroes

A. Bazuhair 60'

3/24/2024

Division 1 · Round 25Dibba Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 59+ matches

Dibba Al-Fujairah59%

×Draw21%

Gulf Heroes20%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Dibba Al-FujairahExpected goals in this matchGulf Heroes

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.06

1.13

Dibba Al-Fujairah

2.06

Gulf Heroes

1.13

Dibba Al-Fujairah creates 82% more chances

Season form · 62 home / 59 away

2.05

creates per match

1.53

0.73

allows per match

2.07

creates per match

Dibba Al-Fujairah

2.05

Gulf Heroes

1.53

allows per match

Dibba Al-Fujairah

0.73

Gulf Heroes

2.07

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Dibba Al-Fujairah+0.00on par

Gulf Heroes+0.00on par

Total goals

Over62
Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes59
No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dibba Al-Fujairah ↓

Gulf Heroes →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–15%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–09%

1–110%

1–25%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–110%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–06%

3–17%

3–24%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–14%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

83%17%2.5

62%38%3.5

39%61%4.5

21%79%

Double chance

Dibba Al-Fujairah or draw

80%

Dibba Al-Fujairah or Gulf Heroes

79%

Draw or Gulf Heroes

41%

Winning margin

Dibba Al-Fujairah wins by 2+

35%

Gulf Heroes wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Dibba Al-Fujairah 1+ goals

87%

Dibba Al-Fujairah 2+ goals

61%

Dibba Al-Fujairah 3+ goals

34%

Gulf Heroes 1+ goals

68%

Gulf Heroes 2+ goals

31%

Gulf Heroes 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Dibba Al-Fujairah (draw refunded)

74%

Gulf Heroes (draw refunded)

26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

49%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dibba Al-Fujairah at home — creates 2.05, concedes 0.73 · 62 matches

Gulf Heroes away — creates 1.53, concedes 2.07 · 59 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dibba Al-Fujairah attack 2.05 + Gulf Heroes defence 2.07 → ÷2 → 2.06

Gulf Heroes attack 1.53 + Dibba Al-Fujairah defence 0.73 → ÷2 → 1.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 59%?"

Dibba Al-Fujairah scores more

59%

level

21%

Gulf Heroes scores more

20%

Dibba Al-Fujairah at 59% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 59% does not mean "Dibba Al-Fujairah will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

60'

A. Bazuhair

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Division 1: Dibba Al-Fujairah 1–0 Gulf Heroes

Dibba Al-Fujairah beat Gulf Heroes 1-0 in Division 1 on March 24, 2024.

Goals: A. Bazuhair (60').

The match was played at Dibba Stadium in Dibba Al Fujairah.

Dibba Al-Fujairah vs Gulf Heroes — Division 1 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Division 1: Dibba Al-Fujairah 1–0 Gulf Heroes