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Deportivo Riestra vs Huracan — League #1032 2026

Deportivo Riestra
Deportivo Riestra
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Huracan
Huracan
4/8/2024League #1032League #1032 · 1st Phase - 13Estadio Guillermo Laza

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Deportivo Riestra17%
×Draw33%
Huracan50%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Deportivo Riestra
0.50
Huracan
1.08

Huracan creates 116% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 6 away

creates per match

Deportivo Riestra
0.33
Huracan
1.00

allows per match

Deportivo Riestra
1.17
Huracan
0.67

finishing

Deportivo Riestra+0.00on par
Huracan+0.00on par

Total goals

79%Under
  • Under79
  • Over21

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

74%No
  • No74
  • Yes26

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Deportivo Riestra ↓

Huracan →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–021%
0–122%
0–212%
0–34%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–111%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–03%
2–13%
2–22%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–00%
3–10%
3–20%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (22%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
79%21%1.5
47%53%2.5
21%79%3.5
8%92%4.5
2%98%

Double chance

Deportivo Riestra or draw
50%
Deportivo Riestra or Huracan
67%
Draw or Huracan
83%

Winning margin

Deportivo Riestra wins by 2+
4%
Huracan wins by 2+
21%

Team goals

Deportivo Riestra 1+ goals
39%
Deportivo Riestra 2+ goals
9%
Deportivo Riestra 3+ goals
1%
Huracan 1+ goals
66%
Huracan 2+ goals
29%
Huracan 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Deportivo Riestra (draw refunded)
25%
Huracan (draw refunded)
75%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
15%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Deportivo Riestra at home — creates 0.33, concedes 1.17 · 6 matches

Huracan away — creates 1.00, concedes 0.67 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Deportivo Riestra attack 0.33 + Huracan defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 0.50

Huracan attack 1.00 + Deportivo Riestra defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.08

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Deportivo Riestra scores more
17%
level
33%
Huracan scores more
50%

Huracan at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Huracan will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

10
A. RoaHuracanHuracan · M
7.6

Match Events

21'
Gonzalo Bravo
31'
Gustavo Martin Fernandez
46'
F. Alfonso← R. Cabral
57'
M. Ortiz← G. Bravo
67'
N. Benegas← Gustavo Fernández
72'
H. Fértoli← A. Roa
72'
M. Pérez← S. Ramírez
79'
D. Minervino← Y. Murillo
82'
Jonathan Herrera
88'
Héctor Fértoli

Possession

29%Deportivo

Shots

8Deportivo

Pass accuracy

40%Deportivo

Statistics

DeportivoHuracan
Overview
29%Possession71%
8Total Shots12
2Corners2
19Fouls13
Shots
8Total Shots12
2On Target3
5Off Target8
1Blocked1
5Inside Box10
3Outside Box2
Passing
29%Possession71%
227Total Passes547
130Accurate Passes467
57%Pass Accuracy85%
Goalkeeping
3Saves2
Discipline
19Fouls13
3Yellow Cards1
0Offsides2

League #1032: Deportivo Riestra 0–0 Huracan

Deportivo Riestra and Huracan drew 0-0 in League #1032 on April 8, 2024.

Huracan controlled possession (71%) and registered 12 shots to 8.

The match was played at Estadio Guillermo Laza in Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires.