Deportivo Pereira 0–0 Llaneros: Result & Stats

Deportivo Pereira

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Llaneros

9/14/2025

Primera A · Clausura - 11Estadio Centenario

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Deportivo Pereira44%

×Draw28%

Llaneros28%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Deportivo PereiraExpected goals in this matchLlaneros

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.33

1.01

Deportivo Pereira

1.33

Llaneros

1.01

Deportivo Pereira creates 32% more chances

Season form · 127 home / 30 away

1.24

creates per match

0.90

1.13

allows per match

1.43

creates per match

Deportivo Pereira

1.24

Llaneros

0.90

allows per match

Deportivo Pereira

1.13

Llaneros

1.43

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Deportivo Pereira+0.00on par

Llaneros+0.00on par

Total goals

Under59
Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No53
Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Deportivo Pereira ↓

Llaneros →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–110%

0–25%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–113%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

68%32%2.5

41%59%3.5

21%79%4.5

9%91%

Double chance

Deportivo Pereira or draw

72%

Deportivo Pereira or Llaneros

72%

Draw or Llaneros

56%

Winning margin

Deportivo Pereira wins by 2+

20%

Llaneros wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

Deportivo Pereira 1+ goals

74%

Deportivo Pereira 2+ goals

38%

Deportivo Pereira 3+ goals

15%

Llaneros 1+ goals

64%

Llaneros 2+ goals

27%

Llaneros 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Deportivo Pereira (draw refunded)

61%

Llaneros (draw refunded)

39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

34%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Deportivo Pereira at home — creates 1.24, concedes 1.13 · 127 matches

Llaneros away — creates 0.90, concedes 1.43 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Deportivo Pereira attack 1.24 + Llaneros defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.33

Llaneros attack 0.90 + Deportivo Pereira defence 1.13 → ÷2 → 1.01

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Deportivo Pereira scores more

44%

level

28%

Llaneros scores more

28%

Deportivo Pereira at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Deportivo Pereira will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

3

J. Moya

Deportivo Pereira · D

7.9

Match Events

26'

Juan David Ríos

60'

Bryan Urueña

63'

V. Mejia← J. Rios

63'

J. Largacha← Y. Quinones

63'

J. Angulo← B. Uruena

64'

B. Benitez← Y. Goez

75'

W. Pacheco← J. Ararat

75'

M. Perez← G. Torres

77'

Victor Mejia

82'

E. Restrepo← M. Sierra

82'

L. Miranda← E. Bodencer

88'

Y. Cabrera← S. J. Merheg

90+5'

Marco PérezPenalty cancelled

90+2'

Eyder Restrepo

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

DeportivoLlaneros

Overview

53%Possession47%

12Total Shots7

8Corners4

9Fouls12

Shots

12Total Shots7

4On Target2

5Off Target3

3Blocked2

7Inside Box3

5Outside Box4

Passing

53%Possession47%

384Total Passes359

303Accurate Passes286

79%Pass Accuracy80%

Goalkeeping

2Saves4

Discipline

9Fouls12

2Yellow Cards2

3Offsides3

Match Recap: Deportivo Pereira vs Llaneros

Deportivo Pereira and Llaneros drew 0-0 in Primera A on September 14, 2025.

Deportivo Pereira controlled possession (53%) and registered 12 shots to 7.

The match was played at Estadio Centenario in Pereira.

Deportivo Pereira vs Llaneros — Primera A 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Deportivo Pereira vs Llaneros