Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Dacia-Buiucani vs Victoria Bardar — Super Liga 2026

Dacia-Buiucani
Dacia-Buiucani
FT
4 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Victoria Bardar
Victoria Bardar
V. Nikhaev 87'
S. Turcan 83'
V. Lupascu 56'
V. Dumbrava 53'
4/11/2025Super LigaSuper Liga · Promotion Group - 5Joma Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 16+ matches

Dacia-Buiucani43%
×Draw23%
Victoria Bardar34%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dacia-Buiucani
1.74
Victoria Bardar
1.52

Dacia-Buiucani creates 14% more chances

Season form · 69 home / 16 away

creates per match

Dacia-Buiucani
1.42
Victoria Bardar
1.69

allows per match

Dacia-Buiucani
1.36
Victoria Bardar
2.06

finishing

Dacia-Buiucani+0.00on par
Victoria Bardar+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

64%Yes
  • Yes64
  • No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dacia-Buiucani ↓

Victoria Bardar →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–110%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
63%37%3.5
41%59%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Dacia-Buiucani or draw
66%
Dacia-Buiucani or Victoria Bardar
77%
Draw or Victoria Bardar
57%

Winning margin

Dacia-Buiucani wins by 2+
23%
Victoria Bardar wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Dacia-Buiucani 1+ goals
82%
Dacia-Buiucani 2+ goals
52%
Dacia-Buiucani 3+ goals
25%
Victoria Bardar 1+ goals
78%
Victoria Bardar 2+ goals
45%
Victoria Bardar 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

Dacia-Buiucani (draw refunded)
56%
Victoria Bardar (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
54%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dacia-Buiucani at home — creates 1.42, concedes 1.36 · 69 matches

Victoria Bardar away — creates 1.69, concedes 2.06 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dacia-Buiucani attack 1.42 + Victoria Bardar defence 2.06 → ÷2 → 1.74

Victoria Bardar attack 1.69 + Dacia-Buiucani defence 1.36 → ÷2 → 1.52

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Dacia-Buiucani scores more
43%
level
23%
Victoria Bardar scores more
34%

Dacia-Buiucani at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Dacia-Buiucani will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

53'
V. Dumbrava
56'
V. Lupascu
83'
S. Turcan
87'
V. Nikhaev
Dacia-Buiucani
Victoria
V. Frunză
Manager: V. Frunză
A. Novicov
Manager: A. Novicov

Super Liga: Dacia-Buiucani 4–0 Victoria Bardar

Dacia-Buiucani beat Victoria Bardar 4-0 in Super Liga on April 11, 2025.

Goals: V. Dumbrava (53'), V. Lupascu (56'), S. Turcan (83'), V. Nikhaev (87').

The match was played at Joma Arena in Chişinău.