Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

CSA Steaua Bucureşti vs Tunari — Friendlies Clubs 2026

CSA Steaua Bucureşti
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
FT
3 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Tunari
Tunari
C. A. Albu 78'
D. Barbu 28'
P. Caldieraro 7'
7/15/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

CSA Steaua Bucureşti63%
×Draw19%
Tunari17%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

CSA Steaua Bucureşti
2.27
Tunari
1.10

CSA Steaua Bucureşti creates 106% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 3 away

creates per match

CSA Steaua Bucureşti
3.20
Tunari
0.67

allows per match

CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.53
Tunari
1.33

finishing

CSA Steaua Bucureşti+0.00on par
Tunari+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Over
  • Over65
  • Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

CSA Steaua Bucureşti ↓

Tunari →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–19%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–07%
3–17%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
65%35%3.5
43%57%4.5
24%76%

Double chance

CSA Steaua Bucureşti or draw
83%
CSA Steaua Bucureşti or Tunari
81%
Draw or Tunari
37%

Winning margin

CSA Steaua Bucureşti wins by 2+
41%
Tunari wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

CSA Steaua Bucureşti 1+ goals
90%
CSA Steaua Bucureşti 2+ goals
66%
CSA Steaua Bucureşti 3+ goals
39%
Tunari 1+ goals
67%
Tunari 2+ goals
30%
Tunari 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

CSA Steaua Bucureşti (draw refunded)
79%
Tunari (draw refunded)
21%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

CSA Steaua Bucureşti at home — creates 3.20, concedes 1.53 · 15 matches

Tunari away — creates 0.67, concedes 1.33 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

CSA Steaua Bucureşti attack 3.20 + Tunari defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 2.27

Tunari attack 0.67 + CSA Steaua Bucureşti defence 1.53 → ÷2 → 1.10

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 63%?"

CSA Steaua Bucureşti scores more
63%
level
19%
Tunari scores more
17%

CSA Steaua Bucureşti at 63% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 63% does not mean "CSA Steaua Bucureşti will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

7'
P. Caldieraro
28'
D. Barbu
78'
C. A. Albu

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: CSA Steaua Bucureşti 3–0 Tunari

CSA Steaua Bucureşti beat Tunari 3-0 in Friendlies Clubs on July 15, 2026.

Goals: P. Caldieraro (7'), D. Barbu (28'), C. A. Albu (78').