Cornellà 0–0 SD Logroñés: Result & Stats

Cornellà

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

SD Logroñés

2/17/2024

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Group 1 - 24Estadio Nou Municipal de Palamós

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 19+ matches

Cornellà44%

×Draw30%

SD Logroñés26%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

CornellàExpected goals in this matchSD Logroñés

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.18

0.84

Cornellà

1.18

SD Logroñés

0.84

Cornellà creates 40% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 38 away

0.89

creates per match

0.79

0.89

allows per match

1.47

creates per match

Cornellà

0.89

SD Logroñés

0.79

allows per match

Cornellà

0.89

SD Logroñés

1.47

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Cornellà+0.00on par

SD Logroñés+0.00on par

Total goals

Under67
Over33

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No61
Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Cornellà ↓

SD Logroñés →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–013%

0–111%

0–25%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–016%

1–113%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–18%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

87%13%1.5

60%40%2.5

33%67%3.5

15%85%4.5

5%95%

Double chance

Cornellà or draw

74%

Cornellà or SD Logroñés

70%

Draw or SD Logroñés

56%

Winning margin

Cornellà wins by 2+

19%

SD Logroñés wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Cornellà 1+ goals

69%

Cornellà 2+ goals

33%

Cornellà 3+ goals

12%

SD Logroñés 1+ goals

57%

SD Logroñés 2+ goals

21%

SD Logroñés 3+ goals

5%

Draw no bet

Cornellà (draw refunded)

63%

SD Logroñés (draw refunded)

37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

26%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Cornellà at home — creates 0.89, concedes 0.89 · 19 matches

SD Logroñés away — creates 0.79, concedes 1.47 · 38 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Cornellà attack 0.89 + SD Logroñés defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.18

SD Logroñés attack 0.79 + Cornellà defence 0.89 → ÷2 → 0.84

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Cornellà scores more

44%

level

30%

SD Logroñés scores more

26%

Cornellà at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Cornellà will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

25'

Curro

36'

Curro

36'

Curro

38'

E. Verges

46'

Gonpi← Toni Arranz

60'

José Mas← Kike López

60'

Robert Simón← E. Sutherland

61'

Luisao Macías← Canario

66'

Damià Sabater← A. Miceli

66'

M. Rodríguez← Óscar Fernández

71'

Jesús Márquez← M. Schmerböck

80'

Marc Tenas← Eudald Vergés

86'

Javier Murúa← Antonio Salado

86'

Michael Conejero← Ferni

90+6'

J. Murua

Cornellà

SD

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: Gonzalo Riutort

46'▲Gonpi←▼Toni Arranz

60'▲José Mas←▼Kike López

60'▲Robert Simón←▼E. Sutherland

61'▲Luisao Macías←▼Canario

80'▲Marc Tenas←▼Eudald Vergés

Cornellà substitutes

GonpiMasSimónMacíasTenasRíosSomaBobiHaoMeikher

Manager: Aitor Larrazábal

66'▲Damià Sabater←▼A. Miceli

66'▲M. Rodríguez←▼Óscar Fernández

71'▲Jesús Márquez←▼M. Schmerböck

86'▲Javier Murúa←▼Antonio Salado

86'▲Michael Conejero←▼Ferni

SD Logroñés substitutes

SabaterRodríguezMárquezMurúaConejeroIruGarridoEzkurdiaAmrani

Primera División RFEF - Group 1: Cornellà 0–0 SD Logroñés

Cornellà and SD Logroñés drew 0-0 in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on February 17, 2024.

The match was played at Estadio Nou Municipal de Palamós in Palamós.

Cornellà vs SD Logroñés — Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Primera División RFEF - Group 1: Cornellà 0–0 SD Logroñés