Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Cork City vs Sligo Rovers — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Cork City
Cork City
CANC
14:00
Sligo Rovers
Sligo Rovers
2/6/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5Solar 21 Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Cork City25%
×Draw20%
Sligo Rovers55%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Cork City
1.43
Sligo Rovers
2.21

Sligo Rovers creates 55% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 3 away

creates per match

Cork City
1.86
Sligo Rovers
2.00

allows per match

Cork City
2.43
Sligo Rovers
1.00

finishing

Cork City+0.00on par
Sligo Rovers+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Over
  • Over70
  • Under30

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

68%Yes
  • Yes68
  • No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Cork City ↓

Sligo Rovers →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–16%
0–26%
0–35%
0–43%
1
1–04%
1–18%
1–29%
1–37%
1–44%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–27%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–01%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–2 (9%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
70%30%3.5
49%51%4.5
30%70%

Double chance

Cork City or draw
45%
Cork City or Sligo Rovers
80%
Draw or Sligo Rovers
75%

Winning margin

Cork City wins by 2+
11%
Sligo Rovers wins by 2+
33%

Team goals

Cork City 1+ goals
76%
Cork City 2+ goals
42%
Cork City 3+ goals
17%
Sligo Rovers 1+ goals
89%
Sligo Rovers 2+ goals
65%
Sligo Rovers 3+ goals
38%

Draw no bet

Cork City (draw refunded)
31%
Sligo Rovers (draw refunded)
69%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
59%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Cork City at home — creates 1.86, concedes 2.43 · 7 matches

Sligo Rovers away — creates 2.00, concedes 1.00 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Cork City attack 1.86 + Sligo Rovers defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.43

Sligo Rovers attack 2.00 + Cork City defence 2.43 → ÷2 → 2.21

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Cork City scores more
25%
level
20%
Sligo Rovers scores more
55%

Sligo Rovers at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Sligo Rovers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Cork City vs Sligo Rovers — Match Preview

Cork City face Sligo Rovers on February 6, 2024 in this Friendlies Clubs fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Cork City host Sligo Rovers at Solar 21 Park.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.