Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Comunicaciones vs Deportivo Riestra — Primera B Metropolitana 2026

Comunicaciones
Comunicaciones
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Deportivo Riestra
Deportivo Riestra
1/25/2019Primera B MetropolitanaPrimera B Metropolitana · Round 20Estadio Alfredo Ramos (Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires)

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 19+ matches

Comunicaciones29%
×Draw29%
Deportivo Riestra42%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Comunicaciones
0.95
Deportivo Riestra
1.21

Deportivo Riestra creates 27% more chances

Season form · 145 home / 19 away

creates per match

Comunicaciones
1.16
Deportivo Riestra
1.47

allows per match

Comunicaciones
0.95
Deportivo Riestra
0.74

finishing

Comunicaciones+0.00on par
Deportivo Riestra+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Under
  • Under63
  • Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

57%No
  • No57
  • Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Comunicaciones ↓

Deportivo Riestra →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–114%
0–28%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–16%
2–24%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
64%36%2.5
37%63%3.5
17%83%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Comunicaciones or draw
58%
Comunicaciones or Deportivo Riestra
71%
Draw or Deportivo Riestra
71%

Winning margin

Comunicaciones wins by 2+
10%
Deportivo Riestra wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

Comunicaciones 1+ goals
61%
Comunicaciones 2+ goals
25%
Comunicaciones 3+ goals
7%
Deportivo Riestra 1+ goals
70%
Deportivo Riestra 2+ goals
34%
Deportivo Riestra 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Comunicaciones (draw refunded)
41%
Deportivo Riestra (draw refunded)
59%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
30%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Comunicaciones at home — creates 1.16, concedes 0.95 · 145 matches

Deportivo Riestra away — creates 1.47, concedes 0.74 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Comunicaciones attack 1.16 + Deportivo Riestra defence 0.74 → ÷2 → 0.95

Deportivo Riestra attack 1.47 + Comunicaciones defence 0.95 → ÷2 → 1.21

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Comunicaciones scores more
29%
level
29%
Deportivo Riestra scores more
42%

Deportivo Riestra at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Deportivo Riestra will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Comunicaciones vs Deportivo Riestra

Comunicaciones and Deportivo Riestra drew 0-0 in Primera B Metropolitana on January 25, 2019.

The match was played at Estadio Alfredo Ramos (Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires).