Clermont Foot 0–1 RED Star FC 93: Result & Stats

Clermont Foot

FT

0 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

RED Star FC 93

H. Benali 64' (pen)

3/20/2026

Ligue 2 · Round 28Stade Gabriel Montpied

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 53+ matches

Clermont Foot44%

×Draw27%

RED Star FC 9329%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 584,459 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Clermont FootExpected goals in this matchRED Star FC 93

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.36

1.06

Clermont Foot

1.36

RED Star FC 93

1.06

Clermont Foot creates 28% more chances

Season form · 94 home / 53 away

1.31

creates per match

1.08

1.03

allows per match

1.42

creates per match

Clermont Foot

1.31

RED Star FC 93

1.08

allows per match

Clermont Foot

1.03

RED Star FC 93

1.42

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Clermont Foot+0.00on par

RED Star FC 93+0.00on par

Total goals

Under56
Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No51
Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Clermont Foot ↓

RED Star FC 93 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–19%

0–25%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–012%

1–113%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

70%30%2.5

44%56%3.5

22%78%4.5

10%90%

Double chance

Clermont Foot or draw

71%

Clermont Foot or RED Star FC 93

73%

Draw or RED Star FC 93

56%

Winning margin

Clermont Foot wins by 2+

20%

RED Star FC 93 wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Clermont Foot 1+ goals

74%

Clermont Foot 2+ goals

39%

Clermont Foot 3+ goals

16%

RED Star FC 93 1+ goals

65%

RED Star FC 93 2+ goals

29%

RED Star FC 93 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

Clermont Foot (draw refunded)

60%

RED Star FC 93 (draw refunded)

40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

36%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Clermont Foot at home — creates 1.31, concedes 1.03 · 94 matches

RED Star FC 93 away — creates 1.08, concedes 1.42 · 53 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Clermont Foot attack 1.31 + RED Star FC 93 defence 1.42 → ÷2 → 1.36

RED Star FC 93 attack 1.08 + Clermont Foot defence 1.03 → ÷2 → 1.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Clermont Foot scores more

44%

level

27%

RED Star FC 93 scores more

29%

Clermont Foot at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Clermont Foot will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

30

T. Guivarch

Clermont Foot · G

7.3

Match Events

5'

28'

39'

62'

62'

64'

H. BenaliPenalty

65'

I. Fakili← E. Cantero

70'

74'

74'

75'

75'

87'

A. Said← K. Bamba

87'

E. H. Kone← V. Nsimba

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

ClermontRED

Overview

48%Possession52%

9Total Shots9

1Corners9

12Fouls17

Shots

9Total Shots9

3On Target4

3Off Target4

3Blocked1

4Inside Box7

5Outside Box2

Passing

48%Possession52%

399Total Passes429

332Accurate Passes363

83%Pass Accuracy85%

Goalkeeping

3Saves3

Discipline

12Fouls17

1Yellow Cards3

1Offsides3