Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Clermont Foot vs Grenoble — Ligue 2 2018

Clermont Foot
Clermont Foot
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Grenoble
Grenoble
3/14/2025Ligue 2Ligue 2 · Round 27Stade Gabriel-Montpied

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 94+ matches

Clermont Foot44%
×Draw28%
Grenoble28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 584,459 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Clermont Foot
1.32
Grenoble
0.98

Clermont Foot creates 35% more chances

Season form · 94 home / 138 away

creates per match

Clermont Foot
1.31
Grenoble
0.94

allows per match

Clermont Foot
1.03
Grenoble
1.33

finishing

Clermont Foot+0.00on par
Grenoble+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Under
  • Under60
  • Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

54%No
  • No54
  • Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Clermont Foot ↓

Grenoble →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–110%
0–25%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
67%33%2.5
40%60%3.5
20%80%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Clermont Foot or draw
72%
Clermont Foot or Grenoble
72%
Draw or Grenoble
56%

Winning margin

Clermont Foot wins by 2+
21%
Grenoble wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Clermont Foot 1+ goals
73%
Clermont Foot 2+ goals
38%
Clermont Foot 3+ goals
15%
Grenoble 1+ goals
62%
Grenoble 2+ goals
26%
Grenoble 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Clermont Foot (draw refunded)
62%
Grenoble (draw refunded)
38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
33%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Clermont Foot at home — creates 1.31, concedes 1.03 · 94 matches

Grenoble away — creates 0.94, concedes 1.33 · 138 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Clermont Foot attack 1.31 + Grenoble defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.32

Grenoble attack 0.94 + Clermont Foot defence 1.03 → ÷2 → 0.98

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Clermont Foot scores more
44%
level
28%
Grenoble scores more
28%

Clermont Foot at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Clermont Foot will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

30
T. GuivarchClermont FootClermont Foot · G
8.2

Match Events

43'
Theo Valls
62'
A. Jabbari← J. Olaïtan
63'
A. Kérouédan← Y. Diaby
71'
Habib Keita
74'
Mamadou Diarra
77'
I. Fakili← O. Diop
77'
F. Diédhiou← H. Keïta
83'
Mattheo Xantippe
87'
Loris Mouyokolo
88'
T. Diagouraga← M. Douane
89'
A. Ackra← H. Saivet
90+3'
Johan Gastien
90'
D. Rigo← S. Diba

Possession

59%Clermont

Shots

18Clermont

Pass accuracy

53%Clermont

Statistics

ClermontGrenoble
Overview
59%Possession41%
18Total Shots13
1Corners2
8Fouls14
Shots
18Total Shots13
5On Target5
7Off Target4
6Blocked4
13Inside Box8
5Outside Box5
Passing
59%Possession41%
548Total Passes379
460Accurate Passes281
84%Pass Accuracy74%
Goalkeeping
5Saves5
Discipline
8Fouls14
2Yellow Cards4
1Offsides3

Match Recap: Clermont Foot vs Grenoble

Clermont Foot and Grenoble drew 0-0 in Ligue 2 on March 14, 2025.

Clermont Foot controlled possession (59%) and registered 18 shots to 13.

The match was played at Stade Gabriel-Montpied in Clermont-Ferrand.