Central Cordoba de Santiago 0–0 Banfield

Central Cordoba de Santiago

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Banfield

8/26/2024

Liga Profesional Argentina · 2nd Phase - 12Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 15+ matches

Central Cordoba de Santiago45%

×Draw29%

Banfield26%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Central Cordoba de SantiagoExpected goals in this matchBanfield

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.25

0.88

Central Cordoba de Santiago

1.25

Banfield

0.88

Central Cordoba de Santiago creates 42% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 15 away

1.27

creates per match

0.85

0.91

allows per match

1.24

creates per match

Central Cordoba de Santiago

1.27

Banfield

0.85

allows per match

Central Cordoba de Santiago

0.91

Banfield

1.24

+0.08on par

finishing

-0.25scores less than expected

finishing

Central Cordoba de Santiago+0.08on par

Banfield-0.25scores less

Total goals

Under64
Over36

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No58
Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Central Cordoba de Santiago ↓

Banfield →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–012%

0–110%

0–25%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–015%

1–113%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–18%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

88%12%1.5

63%37%2.5

36%64%3.5

17%83%4.5

6%94%

Double chance

Central Cordoba de Santiago or draw

74%

Central Cordoba de Santiago or Banfield

71%

Draw or Banfield

55%

Winning margin

Central Cordoba de Santiago wins by 2+

20%

Banfield wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Central Cordoba de Santiago 1+ goals

71%

Central Cordoba de Santiago 2+ goals

36%

Central Cordoba de Santiago 3+ goals

13%

Banfield 1+ goals

59%

Banfield 2+ goals

22%

Banfield 3+ goals

6%

Draw no bet

Central Cordoba de Santiago (draw refunded)

63%

Banfield (draw refunded)

37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

29%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Central Cordoba de Santiago at home — creates 1.27, concedes 0.91 · 17 matches

Banfield away — creates 0.85, concedes 1.24 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Central Cordoba de Santiago attack 1.27 + Banfield defence 1.24 → ÷2 → 1.25

Banfield attack 0.85 + Central Cordoba de Santiago defence 0.91 → ÷2 → 0.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Central Cordoba de Santiago scores more

45%

level

29%

Banfield scores more

26%

Central Cordoba de Santiago at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Central Cordoba de Santiago will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1

F. Sanguinetti

Banfield · G

7.7

Match Events

9'

Facundo Sanguinetti

26'

E. Bonifacio← G. Enrique

46'

M. Benítez← L. Varaldo

49'

Ezequiel Cañete

53'

Franco Aragón

61'

L. Angulo← F. Aragón

61'

B. Sepúlveda← M. Roldán

61'

J. Álvarez← J. Bisanz

63'

71'

79'

79'

83'

83'

M. González← E. Cañete

84'

N. Quagliata← E. Cabrera

87'

Jesús Miguel Soraire

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

CentralBanfield

Overview

53%Possession47%

16Total Shots3

0.80Expected Goals (xG)0.32

6Corners2

15Fouls15

Shots

16Total Shots3

4On Target1

8Off Target1

4Blocked1

5Inside Box2

11Outside Box1

Passing

53%Possession47%

380Total Passes338

277Accurate Passes238

73%Pass Accuracy70%

Goalkeeping

1Saves4

0.41Goals Prevented0.41

Discipline

15Fouls15

2Yellow Cards5

1Offsides5

Match Recap: Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Banfield

Central Cordoba de Santiago and Banfield drew 0-0 in Liga Profesional Argentina on August 26, 2024.

Central Cordoba de Santiago controlled possession (53%) and registered 16 shots to 3.

The match was played at Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades in Santiago del Estero, Prov. de Santiago del Estero.

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Banfield — Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Banfield