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Bulawayo City vs Dynamos — Premier Soccer League 2026

Bulawayo City
Bulawayo City
FT
0 – 2
Dynamos
Dynamos
11/15/2017Premier Soccer LeaguePremier Soccer League · Round 32Barbourfields Stadium (Bulawayo)

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 26+ matches

Bulawayo City25%
×Draw32%
Dynamos43%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bulawayo City
0.74
Dynamos
1.08

Dynamos creates 46% more chances

Season form · 26 home / 98 away

creates per match

Bulawayo City
0.73
Dynamos
0.93

allows per match

Bulawayo City
1.23
Dynamos
0.76

finishing

Bulawayo City+0.00on par
Dynamos+0.00on par

Total goals

73%Under
  • Under73
  • Over27

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

65%No
  • No65
  • Yes35

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bulawayo City ↓

Dynamos →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–016%
0–118%
0–29%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–012%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–04%
2–15%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–01%
3–11%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (18%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
84%16%1.5
54%46%2.5
27%73%3.5
11%89%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

Bulawayo City or draw
57%
Bulawayo City or Dynamos
68%
Draw or Dynamos
75%

Winning margin

Bulawayo City wins by 2+
7%
Dynamos wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

Bulawayo City 1+ goals
52%
Bulawayo City 2+ goals
17%
Bulawayo City 3+ goals
4%
Dynamos 1+ goals
66%
Dynamos 2+ goals
29%
Dynamos 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Bulawayo City (draw refunded)
36%
Dynamos (draw refunded)
64%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
22%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bulawayo City at home — creates 0.73, concedes 1.23 · 26 matches

Dynamos away — creates 0.93, concedes 0.76 · 98 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bulawayo City attack 0.73 + Dynamos defence 0.76 → ÷2 → 0.74

Dynamos attack 0.93 + Bulawayo City defence 1.23 → ÷2 → 1.08

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Bulawayo City scores more
25%
level
32%
Dynamos scores more
43%

Dynamos at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Dynamos will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier Soccer League: Bulawayo City 0–2 Dynamos

Dynamos beat Bulawayo City 2-0 in Premier Soccer League on November 15, 2017.

The match was played at Barbourfields Stadium (Bulawayo).