Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Bulawayo City vs Dynamos — Premier Soccer League 2026

Bulawayo City
Bulawayo City
FT
1 – 0
Dynamos
Dynamos
10/22/2022Premier Soccer LeaguePremier Soccer League · Round 31Barbourfields Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Bulawayo City28%
×Draw32%
Dynamos41%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bulawayo City
0.82
Dynamos
1.07

Dynamos creates 30% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 95 away

creates per match

Bulawayo City
0.88
Dynamos
0.91

allows per match

Bulawayo City
1.24
Dynamos
0.77

finishing

Bulawayo City+0.00on par
Dynamos+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Under
  • Under71
  • Over29

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

63%No
  • No63
  • Yes37

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bulawayo City ↓

Dynamos →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–015%
0–116%
0–29%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–012%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–15%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–01%
3–11%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
85%15%1.5
56%44%2.5
29%71%3.5
12%88%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

Bulawayo City or draw
59%
Bulawayo City or Dynamos
68%
Draw or Dynamos
72%

Winning margin

Bulawayo City wins by 2+
9%
Dynamos wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Bulawayo City 1+ goals
56%
Bulawayo City 2+ goals
20%
Bulawayo City 3+ goals
5%
Dynamos 1+ goals
66%
Dynamos 2+ goals
29%
Dynamos 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Bulawayo City (draw refunded)
40%
Dynamos (draw refunded)
60%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
24%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bulawayo City at home — creates 0.88, concedes 1.24 · 17 matches

Dynamos away — creates 0.91, concedes 0.77 · 95 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bulawayo City attack 0.88 + Dynamos defence 0.77 → ÷2 → 0.82

Dynamos attack 0.91 + Bulawayo City defence 1.24 → ÷2 → 1.07

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Bulawayo City scores more
28%
level
32%
Dynamos scores more
41%

Dynamos at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Dynamos will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Bulawayo City vs Dynamos

Bulawayo City beat Dynamos 1-0 in Premier Soccer League on October 22, 2022.

The match was played at Barbourfields Stadium in Bulawayo.