Botafogo PB 0–0 Volta Redonda: Result & Stats

Botafogo PB

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Volta Redonda

9/8/2024

Serie C · Promotion Round - 2Estádio José Américo de Almeida Filho

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 81+ matches

Botafogo PB49%

×Draw26%

Volta Redonda25%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Botafogo PBExpected goals in this matchVolta Redonda

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.46

0.96

Botafogo PB

1.46

Volta Redonda

0.96

Botafogo PB creates 52% more chances

Season form · 92 home / 81 away

1.48

creates per match

1.06

0.86

allows per match

1.44

creates per match

Botafogo PB

1.48

Volta Redonda

1.06

allows per match

Botafogo PB

0.86

Volta Redonda

1.44

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Botafogo PB+0.00on par

Volta Redonda+0.00on par

Total goals

Under56
Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No53
Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Botafogo PB ↓

Volta Redonda →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–19%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–112%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

70%30%2.5

44%56%3.5

22%78%4.5

10%90%

Double chance

Botafogo PB or draw

75%

Botafogo PB or Volta Redonda

74%

Draw or Volta Redonda

51%

Winning margin

Botafogo PB wins by 2+

24%

Volta Redonda wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Botafogo PB 1+ goals

77%

Botafogo PB 2+ goals

43%

Botafogo PB 3+ goals

18%

Volta Redonda 1+ goals

62%

Volta Redonda 2+ goals

25%

Volta Redonda 3+ goals

7%

Draw no bet

Botafogo PB (draw refunded)

66%

Volta Redonda (draw refunded)

34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

35%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Botafogo PB at home — creates 1.48, concedes 0.86 · 92 matches

Volta Redonda away — creates 1.06, concedes 1.44 · 81 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Botafogo PB attack 1.48 + Volta Redonda defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.46

Volta Redonda attack 1.06 + Botafogo PB defence 0.86 → ÷2 → 0.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Botafogo PB scores more

49%

level

26%

Volta Redonda scores more

25%

Botafogo PB at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Botafogo PB will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

Robinho

Volta Redonda · M

8.5

Match Events

66'

Keliton← Douglas Skilo

67'

Bruno Leite← Joãozinho

67'

Evandro← Rafael Furlan

67'

Gabriel Lima← Sillas

77'

Douglas

78'

Henrique Dourado← Vinícius Leite

80'

Thallyson

81'

Guilherme Mantuan← Edmundo

81'

Evanderson← Robinho

81'

Patrick← Henrique Silva

87'

Gabriel Bahia← Wellington Silva

87'

Cristiano← Bruno Santos

89'

Guilherme Mantuan

90+3'

Jô

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

BotafogoVolta

Overview

54%Possession46%

16Total Shots16

1.03Expected Goals (xG)1.17

6Corners5

12Fouls13

Shots

16Total Shots16

3On Target5

6Off Target7

7Blocked3

8Inside Box5

8Outside Box11

Passing

54%Possession46%

345Total Passes257

274Accurate Passes200

79%Pass Accuracy78%

Goalkeeping

5Saves6

Discipline

12Fouls13

4Yellow Cards0

0Red Cards0

1Offsides1

Serie C: Botafogo PB 0–0 Volta Redonda

Botafogo PB and Volta Redonda drew 0-0 in Serie C on September 8, 2024.

Botafogo PB controlled possession (54%) and registered 16 shots to 16.

The match was played at Estádio José Américo de Almeida Filho in João Pessoa, Paraíba.

Botafogo PB vs Volta Redonda — Serie C 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Serie C: Botafogo PB 0–0 Volta Redonda