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Bóng đá Huế vs Da Nang — V.League 2 2020

Bóng đá Huế
Bóng đá Huế
FT
2 – 2
HT: 0 – 1
Da Nang
Da Nang
6/16/2024V.League 2V.League 2 · Round 20Sân vận động Tự Do

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Bóng đá Huế24%
×Draw27%
Da Nang49%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bóng đá Huế
0.88
Da Nang
1.40

Da Nang creates 59% more chances

Season form · 51 home / 10 away

creates per match

Bóng đá Huế
1.06
Da Nang
1.90

allows per match

Bóng đá Huế
0.90
Da Nang
0.70

finishing

Bóng đá Huế+0.00on par
Da Nang+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Under
  • Under60
  • Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

56%No
  • No56
  • Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bóng đá Huế ↓

Da Nang →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–114%
0–210%
0–35%
0–42%
1
1–09%
1–113%
1–29%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–04%
2–16%
2–24%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–21%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (14%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
66%34%2.5
40%60%3.5
20%80%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Bóng đá Huế or draw
51%
Bóng đá Huế or Da Nang
73%
Draw or Da Nang
76%

Winning margin

Bóng đá Huế wins by 2+
8%
Da Nang wins by 2+
24%

Team goals

Bóng đá Huế 1+ goals
59%
Bóng đá Huế 2+ goals
22%
Bóng đá Huế 3+ goals
6%
Da Nang 1+ goals
75%
Da Nang 2+ goals
41%
Da Nang 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Bóng đá Huế (draw refunded)
33%
Da Nang (draw refunded)
67%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
31%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bóng đá Huế at home — creates 1.06, concedes 0.90 · 51 matches

Da Nang away — creates 1.90, concedes 0.70 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bóng đá Huế attack 1.06 + Da Nang defence 0.70 → ÷2 → 0.88

Da Nang attack 1.90 + Bóng đá Huế defence 0.90 → ÷2 → 1.40

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Bóng đá Huế scores more
24%
level
27%
Da Nang scores more
49%

Da Nang at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Da Nang will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Bóng đá Huế vs Da Nang

Bóng đá Huế and Da Nang drew 2-2 in V.League 2 on June 16, 2024.

The match was played at Sân vận động Tự Do in Hue.