Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Blackburn vs Norwich — Championship 2018

Blackburn
Blackburn
Preview
19:45
Norwich
Norwich
12/8/2026ChampionshipChampionship · Round 20Ewood Park
Big match
43%
Blackburn
model favours
43%27%31%

Blackburn sit 22, Norwich 9 in the table

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
54%
under 2.5 goals
51%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 57+ matches

Blackburn43%
×Draw27%
Norwich31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Blackburn
1.38
Norwich
1.13

Blackburn creates 22% more chances

Season form · 57 home / 59 away

creates per match

Blackburn
1.31
Norwich
1.20

allows per match

Blackburn
1.06
Norwich
1.45

finishing

Blackburn-0.27scores less
Norwich+0.12scores more

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%Yes
  • Yes51
  • No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Blackburn ↓

Norwich →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–19%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
71%29%2.5
46%54%3.5
24%76%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Blackburn or draw
69%
Blackburn or Norwich
73%
Draw or Norwich
57%

Winning margin

Blackburn wins by 2+
20%
Norwich wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Blackburn 1+ goals
75%
Blackburn 2+ goals
40%
Blackburn 3+ goals
16%
Norwich 1+ goals
68%
Norwich 2+ goals
31%
Norwich 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Blackburn (draw refunded)
58%
Norwich (draw refunded)
42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Blackburn at home — creates 1.31, concedes 1.06 · 57 matches

Norwich away — creates 1.20, concedes 1.45 · 59 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Blackburn attack 1.31 + Norwich defence 1.45 → ÷2 → 1.38

Norwich attack 1.20 + Blackburn defence 1.06 → ÷2 → 1.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Blackburn scores more
43%
level
27%
Norwich scores more
31%

Blackburn at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Blackburn will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Style Matchup

Similar styles
Blackburn
Balanced
Norwich
Balanced
50%Possession55%
75%Pass accuracy82%
11.1Shots12.4
1.16xGBiggest gap1.35
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
BlackburnNorwich

Head-to-head

10 previous meetings

2
Blackburn
4
Draws
4
Norwich
Avg goals: 2.5BTTS: 60%
0–20–21–12–21–1

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Blackburn
LWWDL
Norwich
DWDWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Blackburn vs Norwich — Match Preview

Blackburn face Norwich on December 8, 2026 in this Championship fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Blackburn host Norwich at Ewood Park.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.