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BK Hacken vs AIK Stockholm — Allsvenskan 2026

BK Hacken
BK Hacken
Preview
17:00
AIK Stockholm
AIK Stockholm
7/27/2026AllsvenskanAllsvenskan · Round 14Nordic Wellness Arena
Big match
41%
BK Hacken
model favours
41%25%33%

AIK Stockholm have won 4 in a row

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
52%
over 2.5 goals
56%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 13+ matches

BK Hacken41%
×Draw25%
AIK Stockholm33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

BK Hacken
1.46
AIK Stockholm
1.29

BK Hacken creates 13% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 25 away

creates per match

BK Hacken
1.83
AIK Stockholm
1.05

allows per match

BK Hacken
1.54
AIK Stockholm
1.09

finishing

BK Hacken+0.02on par
AIK Stockholm+0.07on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

BK Hacken ↓

AIK Stockholm →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–18%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–112%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
30%70%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

BK Hacken or draw
67%
BK Hacken or AIK Stockholm
75%
Draw or AIK Stockholm
59%

Winning margin

BK Hacken wins by 2+
20%
AIK Stockholm wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

BK Hacken 1+ goals
77%
BK Hacken 2+ goals
43%
BK Hacken 3+ goals
18%
AIK Stockholm 1+ goals
72%
AIK Stockholm 2+ goals
37%
AIK Stockholm 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

BK Hacken (draw refunded)
55%
AIK Stockholm (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
44%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

BK Hacken at home — creates 1.83, concedes 1.54 · 13 matches

AIK Stockholm away — creates 1.05, concedes 1.09 · 25 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

BK Hacken attack 1.83 + AIK Stockholm defence 1.09 → ÷2 → 1.46

AIK Stockholm attack 1.05 + BK Hacken defence 1.54 → ÷2 → 1.29

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

BK Hacken scores more
41%
level
25%
AIK Stockholm scores more
33%

BK Hacken at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "BK Hacken will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • AIK Stockholm score first in only 33% of matches
  • Style contrast — BK Hacken play Attack-heavy, AIK Stockholm Defensively solid
  • Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings
  • 32% of AIK Stockholm’s goals come after the 75th minute
  • Their last 10 meetings averaged 3.8 goals
  • 20% of BK Hacken’s goals come in the first 15 minutes

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
BK Hacken
Attack-heavy
AIK Stockholm
Defensively solid
56%Possession50%
85%Pass accuracy79%
15.8Shots13.9
1.67xGBiggest gap1.31
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
BK HackenAIK Stockholm

Head-to-head

10 previous meetings

6
BK Hacken
2
Draws
2
AIK Stockholm
Avg goals: 3.8BTTS: 70%
0–42–23–32–04–1

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Hacken
WLLLW
Stockholm
WWWWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: BK Hacken host AIK Stockholm

July 27, 2026: BK Hacken take on AIK Stockholm in Allsvenskan. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

BK Hacken host AIK Stockholm at Nordic Wellness Arena.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.