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Binh Dinh vs Sanna Khanh Hoa — V.League 2 2020

Binh Dinh
Binh Dinh
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Sanna Khanh Hoa
Sanna Khanh Hoa
4/11/2026V.League 2V.League 2 · Round 14Quy Nhon Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 20+ matches

Binh Dinh52%
×Draw26%
Sanna Khanh Hoa22%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Binh Dinh
1.54
Sanna Khanh Hoa
0.91

Binh Dinh creates 69% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 43 away

creates per match

Binh Dinh
2.10
Sanna Khanh Hoa
0.86

allows per match

Binh Dinh
0.95
Sanna Khanh Hoa
0.98

finishing

Binh Dinh+0.00on par
Sanna Khanh Hoa+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Under
  • Under56
  • Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

53%No
  • No53
  • Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Binh Dinh ↓

Sanna Khanh Hoa →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–18%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
44%56%3.5
23%77%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Binh Dinh or draw
78%
Binh Dinh or Sanna Khanh Hoa
74%
Draw or Sanna Khanh Hoa
48%

Winning margin

Binh Dinh wins by 2+
27%
Sanna Khanh Hoa wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Binh Dinh 1+ goals
79%
Binh Dinh 2+ goals
45%
Binh Dinh 3+ goals
20%
Sanna Khanh Hoa 1+ goals
60%
Sanna Khanh Hoa 2+ goals
23%
Sanna Khanh Hoa 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Binh Dinh (draw refunded)
70%
Sanna Khanh Hoa (draw refunded)
30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
35%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Binh Dinh at home — creates 2.10, concedes 0.95 · 20 matches

Sanna Khanh Hoa away — creates 0.86, concedes 0.98 · 43 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Binh Dinh attack 2.10 + Sanna Khanh Hoa defence 0.98 → ÷2 → 1.54

Sanna Khanh Hoa attack 0.86 + Binh Dinh defence 0.95 → ÷2 → 0.91

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Binh Dinh scores more
52%
level
26%
Sanna Khanh Hoa scores more
22%

Binh Dinh at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Binh Dinh will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

V.League 2: Binh Dinh 1–0 Sanna Khanh Hoa

Binh Dinh beat Sanna Khanh Hoa 1-0 in V.League 2 on April 11, 2026.

The match was played at Quy Nhon Stadium in Quy Nhon.