Beşiktaş 2–1 Konyaspor: Result & Stats

Beşiktaş

FT

2 – 1

HT: 1 – 1

Konyaspor

O. Kokcu 77'

V. Cerny 34'

D. Turuc 23'

1/31/2026

League #203 · Round 20Tupras Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 5+ matches

Beşiktaş54%

×Draw22%

Konyaspor23%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

BeşiktaşExpected goals in this matchKonyaspor

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.94

1.20

Beşiktaş

1.94

Konyaspor

1.20

Beşiktaş creates 62% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 5 away

1.89

creates per match

1.58

0.82

allows per match

1.98

creates per match

Beşiktaş

1.89

Konyaspor

1.58

allows per match

Beşiktaş

0.82

Konyaspor

1.98

-0.51scores less than expected

finishing

-0.38scores less than expected

finishing

Beşiktaş-0.51scores less

Konyaspor-0.38scores less

Total goals

Over61
Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes60
No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Beşiktaş ↓

Konyaspor →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–15%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–08%

1–110%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–110%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

82%18%2.5

61%39%3.5

38%62%4.5

21%79%

Double chance

Beşiktaş or draw

77%

Beşiktaş or Konyaspor

78%

Draw or Konyaspor

46%

Winning margin

Beşiktaş wins by 2+

32%

Konyaspor wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Beşiktaş 1+ goals

86%

Beşiktaş 2+ goals

58%

Beşiktaş 3+ goals

30%

Konyaspor 1+ goals

70%

Konyaspor 2+ goals

34%

Konyaspor 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

Beşiktaş (draw refunded)

70%

Konyaspor (draw refunded)

30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

50%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Beşiktaş at home — creates 1.89, concedes 0.82 · 8 matches

Konyaspor away — creates 1.58, concedes 1.98 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Beşiktaş attack 1.89 + Konyaspor defence 1.98 → ÷2 → 1.94

Konyaspor attack 1.58 + Beşiktaş defence 0.82 → ÷2 → 1.20

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Beşiktaş scores more

54%

level

22%

Konyaspor scores more

23%

Beşiktaş at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Beşiktaş will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

10

O. Kokcu

Beşiktaş · M

8.9

Match Events

-5'

21'

23'

34'

51'

57'

64'

67'

68'

W. Ndidi← S. Ucan

68'

M. Rashica← M. Hekimoglu

76'

K. Asllani← C. Under

76'

Jota Silva← V. Cerny

77'

O. Kokcu

81'

Kristjan AsllaniCard upgrade

82'

Kristjan Asllani

83'

A. Bosluk← R. Bazoer

83'

A. Nagalo← U. Yazgili

83'

S. Svendsen← E. Bardhi

87'

M. Ibrahimoglu← M. Bjorlo

88'

Deniz Türüç

90+6'

Berkan Kutlu

90+5'

Blaž Kramer

90+1'

K. Kayra Yilmaz← O. Kokcu

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

BeşiktaşKonyaspor

Overview

60%Possession40%

22Total Shots9

2.00Expected Goals (xG)1.01

8Corners2

16Fouls22

Shots

22Total Shots9

10On Target2

5Off Target5

7Blocked2

11Inside Box6

11Outside Box3

Passing

60%Possession40%

433Total Passes300

358Accurate Passes215

83%Pass Accuracy72%

Goalkeeping

1Saves8

0.56Goals Prevented0.56

Discipline

16Fouls22

2Yellow Cards7

1Red Cards0

3Offsides1