Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Beşiktaş vs Galatasaray — League #203 2026

Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş
Preview
18:00
Galatasaray
Galatasaray
11/29/2026League #203League #203 · Round 13Besiktas Park
Big match
40%
Beşiktaş
model favours
40%26%34%

Both teams score in only 31% of Galatasaray’s matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
51%
over 2.5 goals
55%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 13+ matches

Beşiktaş40%
×Draw26%
Galatasaray34%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Beşiktaş
1.42
Galatasaray
1.28

Beşiktaş creates 11% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 26 away

creates per match

Beşiktaş
1.71
Galatasaray
1.65

allows per match

Beşiktaş
0.91
Galatasaray
1.13

finishing

Beşiktaş-0.25scores less
Galatasaray+0.31scores more

Total goals

51%Over
  • Over51
  • Under49

Close call

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Beşiktaş ↓

Galatasaray →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–19%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
51%49%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Beşiktaş or draw
66%
Beşiktaş or Galatasaray
74%
Draw or Galatasaray
60%

Winning margin

Beşiktaş wins by 2+
19%
Galatasaray wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Beşiktaş 1+ goals
76%
Beşiktaş 2+ goals
41%
Beşiktaş 3+ goals
17%
Galatasaray 1+ goals
72%
Galatasaray 2+ goals
37%
Galatasaray 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Beşiktaş (draw refunded)
54%
Galatasaray (draw refunded)
46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Beşiktaş at home — creates 1.71, concedes 0.91 · 13 matches

Galatasaray away — creates 1.65, concedes 1.13 · 26 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Beşiktaş attack 1.71 + Galatasaray defence 1.13 → ÷2 → 1.42

Galatasaray attack 1.65 + Beşiktaş defence 0.91 → ÷2 → 1.28

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Beşiktaş scores more
40%
level
26%
Galatasaray scores more
34%

Beşiktaş at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Beşiktaş will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Top-of-the-table clash — Beşiktaş 3 vs Galatasaray 1
  • 30% of Galatasaray’s goals come after the 75th minute
  • 20% of Galatasaray’s goals come in the first 15 minutes

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Similar styles
Beşiktaş
Possession-dominant
Galatasaray
Possession-dominant
55%Possession59%
82%Pass accuracy84%
16.0Shots17.0
1.63xGBiggest gap1.95
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
BeşiktaşGalatasaray

Head-to-head

5 previous meetings

2
Beşiktaş
1
Draws
2
Galatasaray
Avg goals: 2.8BTTS: 60%
0–11–12–11–25–0

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Beşiktaş
LDLD
Galatasaray
WLLWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Beşiktaş face Galatasaray (League #203)

League #203 returns with Beşiktaş hosting Galatasaray. Match starts November 29, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Beşiktaş host Galatasaray at Besiktas Park.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.