Beerschot VA 0–0 Standard Liege: Result & Stats

Beerschot VA

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Standard Liege

12/14/2024

Jupiler Pro League · Round 18Olympisch Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 6+ matches

Beerschot VA37%

×Draw26%

Standard Liege37%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Beerschot VAExpected goals in this matchStandard Liege

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.30

1.29

Beerschot VA

1.30

Standard Liege

1.29

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 6 home / 18 away

1.11

creates per match

1.05

1.54

allows per match

1.49

creates per match

Beerschot VA

1.11

Standard Liege

1.05

allows per match

Beerschot VA

1.54

Standard Liege

1.49

-0.28scores less than expected

finishing

-0.16scores less than expected

finishing

Beerschot VA-0.28scores less

Standard Liege-0.16scores less

Total goals

Under52
Over48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Beerschot VA ↓

Standard Liege →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–110%

0–26%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–113%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–18%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

73%27%2.5

48%52%3.5

26%74%4.5

12%88%

Double chance

Beerschot VA or draw

63%

Beerschot VA or Standard Liege

74%

Draw or Standard Liege

63%

Winning margin

Beerschot VA wins by 2+

16%

Standard Liege wins by 2+

16%

Team goals

Beerschot VA 1+ goals

73%

Beerschot VA 2+ goals

37%

Beerschot VA 3+ goals

14%

Standard Liege 1+ goals

72%

Standard Liege 2+ goals

37%

Standard Liege 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Beerschot VA (draw refunded)

50%

Standard Liege (draw refunded)

50%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

40%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Beerschot VA at home — creates 1.11, concedes 1.54 · 6 matches

Standard Liege away — creates 1.05, concedes 1.49 · 18 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Beerschot VA attack 1.11 + Standard Liege defence 1.49 → ÷2 → 1.30

Standard Liege attack 1.05 + Beerschot VA defence 1.54 → ÷2 → 1.29

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 37%?"

Beerschot VA scores more

37%

level

26%

Standard Liege scores more

37%

Beerschot VA at 37% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 37% does not mean "Beerschot VA will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

40

M. Epolo

Standard Liege · G

9.2

Match Events

14'

Ibe Hautekiet

65'

Boli Bolingoli

67'

S. Doumbia← B. Bolingoli

70'

M. Weymans← T. Reyners

70'

D. Wright-Phillips← C. Dagba

82'

S. Benjdida← A. Zeqiri

90'

M. Bulat← D. Eckert Ayensa

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

BeerschotStandard

Overview

66%Possession34%

18Total Shots14

1.41Expected Goals (xG)1.22

10Corners7

4Fouls6

Shots

18Total Shots14

8On Target2

8Off Target8

2Blocked4

9Inside Box10

9Outside Box4

Passing

66%Possession34%

581Total Passes296

488Accurate Passes211

84%Pass Accuracy71%

Goalkeeping

1Saves8

2.58Goals Prevented2.58

Discipline

4Fouls6

0Yellow Cards2

2Offsides4