Baniyas SC 0–0 Al-Wasl FC: Result & Stats

Baniyas SC

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Al-Wasl FC

1/11/2025

League #301 · Round 12Baniyas Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Baniyas SC58%

×Draw24%

Al-Wasl FC18%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Baniyas SCExpected goals in this matchAl-Wasl FC

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.67

0.80

Baniyas SC

1.67

Al-Wasl FC

0.80

Baniyas SC creates 109% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 5 away

1.33

creates per match

0.60

1.00

allows per match

2.00

creates per match

Baniyas SC

1.33

Al-Wasl FC

0.60

allows per match

Baniyas SC

1.00

Al-Wasl FC

2.00

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Baniyas SC+0.00on par

Al-Wasl FC+0.00on par

Total goals

Under55
Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No55
Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Baniyas SC ↓

Al-Wasl FC →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–17%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–014%

1–111%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–012%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–07%

3–15%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

71%29%2.5

45%55%3.5

23%77%4.5

10%90%

Double chance

Baniyas SC or draw

82%

Baniyas SC or Al-Wasl FC

76%

Draw or Al-Wasl FC

42%

Winning margin

Baniyas SC wins by 2+

32%

Al-Wasl FC wins by 2+

5%

Team goals

Baniyas SC 1+ goals

81%

Baniyas SC 2+ goals

50%

Baniyas SC 3+ goals

23%

Al-Wasl FC 1+ goals

55%

Al-Wasl FC 2+ goals

19%

Al-Wasl FC 3+ goals

5%

Draw no bet

Baniyas SC (draw refunded)

77%

Al-Wasl FC (draw refunded)

23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

33%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Baniyas SC at home — creates 1.33, concedes 1.00 · 3 matches

Al-Wasl FC away — creates 0.60, concedes 2.00 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Baniyas SC attack 1.33 + Al-Wasl FC defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.67

Al-Wasl FC attack 0.60 + Baniyas SC defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.80

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Baniyas SC scores more

58%

level

24%

Al-Wasl FC scores more

18%

Baniyas SC at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "Baniyas SC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

33

A. Burcă

Baniyas SC · D

8.0

Match Events

10'

Youssouf NiakateGoal cancelled

44'

Jonatas Santos

45+1'

Joao Victor

46'

Salem Al Azizi← T. Uchino

46'

Majid Surour← Jonatas Santos

68'

H. Seferović← Caio Canedo

77'

Lazar Marković

78'

Srđan Mijailović

78'

Adham Hegazy← Fahad Badr

80'

Tahnoon Al Zaabi← S. Mijailović

88'

Salem Juma Awad

90+2'

I. Tshibangu← Y. Niakaté

90+1'

A. Diallo← N. Giménez

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

BaniyasAl-Wasl

Overview

35%Possession65%

11Total Shots10

2Corners9

8Fouls13

Shots

11Total Shots10

5On Target2

2Off Target4

4Blocked4

9Inside Box5

2Outside Box5

Passing

35%Possession65%

276Total Passes511

205Accurate Passes437

74%Pass Accuracy86%

Goalkeeping

2Saves5

Discipline

8Fouls13

2Yellow Cards3

1Offsides2