Austria Vienna 0–2 Wolfsberger AC: Result & Stats

Austria Vienna

FT

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 2

Wolfsberger AC

Lee Kang-Hee 23' (OG)

A. Schopf 6'

8/10/2025

Bundesliga · Round 2Generali Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 129+ matches

Austria Vienna40%

×Draw25%

Wolfsberger AC35%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Austria ViennaExpected goals in this matchWolfsberger AC

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.52

1.42

Austria Vienna

1.52

Wolfsberger AC

1.42

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 132 home / 129 away

1.59

creates per match

1.58

1.26

allows per match

1.46

creates per match

Austria Vienna

1.59

Wolfsberger AC

1.58

allows per match

Austria Vienna

1.26

Wolfsberger AC

1.46

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Austria Vienna+0.00on par

Wolfsberger AC+0.00on par

Total goals

Over56
Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes59
No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Austria Vienna ↓

Wolfsberger AC →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–18%

0–25%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–111%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

79%21%2.5

56%44%3.5

34%66%4.5

17%83%

Double chance

Austria Vienna or draw

65%

Austria Vienna or Wolfsberger AC

75%

Draw or Wolfsberger AC

60%

Winning margin

Austria Vienna wins by 2+

19%

Wolfsberger AC wins by 2+

16%

Team goals

Austria Vienna 1+ goals

78%

Austria Vienna 2+ goals

45%

Austria Vienna 3+ goals

20%

Wolfsberger AC 1+ goals

76%

Wolfsberger AC 2+ goals

41%

Wolfsberger AC 3+ goals

17%

Draw no bet

Austria Vienna (draw refunded)

53%

Wolfsberger AC (draw refunded)

47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

48%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Austria Vienna at home — creates 1.59, concedes 1.26 · 132 matches

Wolfsberger AC away — creates 1.58, concedes 1.46 · 129 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Austria Vienna attack 1.59 + Wolfsberger AC defence 1.46 → ÷2 → 1.52

Wolfsberger AC attack 1.58 + Austria Vienna defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 1.42

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Austria Vienna scores more

40%

level

25%

Wolfsberger AC scores more

35%

Austria Vienna at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Austria Vienna will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

28

P. Wiesinger

Austria Vienna · D

7.9

Match Events

6'

A. Schopf↳ D. Zukic

23'

Lee Kang-HeeOwn goal

46'

Lee Tae-Seok← H. Guenouche

46'

P. Wiesinger← N. Botic

46'

M. Sulzner← E. Agyeman

56'

A. Barry← J. Handl

56'

M. Malone← J. Eggestein

58'

Manprit Sarkaria

59'

Thierno Ballo

71'

S. Saljic← T. Plavotic

71'

S. Piesinger← A. Schopf

71'

A. Gattermayer← T. Ballo

75'

Dominik Fitz

78'

D. Avdijaj← D. Zukic

88'

F. Hajdini← D. Atanga

90+4'

Dominik BaumgartnerGoal cancelled

90+7'

Marco Sulzner

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

AustriaWolfsberger

Overview

57%Possession43%

12Total Shots7

0.88Expected Goals (xG)1.10

5Corners2

12Fouls13

Shots

12Total Shots7

3On Target3

4Off Target3

5Blocked1

5Inside Box4

7Outside Box3

Passing

57%Possession43%

474Total Passes375

396Accurate Passes288

84%Pass Accuracy77%

Goalkeeping

1Saves3

Discipline

12Fouls13

2Yellow Cards2

2Offsides4