Austria Vienna 0–0 Wolfsberger AC: Result & Stats

Austria Vienna

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Wolfsberger AC

4/6/2025

Bundesliga · Championship Round - 2Generali Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 129+ matches

Austria Vienna40%

×Draw25%

Wolfsberger AC35%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Austria ViennaExpected goals in this matchWolfsberger AC

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.52

1.42

Austria Vienna

1.52

Wolfsberger AC

1.42

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 132 home / 129 away

1.59

creates per match

1.58

1.26

allows per match

1.46

creates per match

Austria Vienna

1.59

Wolfsberger AC

1.58

allows per match

Austria Vienna

1.26

Wolfsberger AC

1.46

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Austria Vienna+0.00on par

Wolfsberger AC+0.00on par

Total goals

Over56
Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes59
No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Austria Vienna ↓

Wolfsberger AC →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–18%

0–25%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–111%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

79%21%2.5

56%44%3.5

34%66%4.5

17%83%

Double chance

Austria Vienna or draw

65%

Austria Vienna or Wolfsberger AC

75%

Draw or Wolfsberger AC

60%

Winning margin

Austria Vienna wins by 2+

19%

Wolfsberger AC wins by 2+

16%

Team goals

Austria Vienna 1+ goals

78%

Austria Vienna 2+ goals

45%

Austria Vienna 3+ goals

20%

Wolfsberger AC 1+ goals

76%

Wolfsberger AC 2+ goals

41%

Wolfsberger AC 3+ goals

17%

Draw no bet

Austria Vienna (draw refunded)

53%

Wolfsberger AC (draw refunded)

47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

48%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Austria Vienna at home — creates 1.59, concedes 1.26 · 132 matches

Wolfsberger AC away — creates 1.58, concedes 1.46 · 129 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Austria Vienna attack 1.59 + Wolfsberger AC defence 1.46 → ÷2 → 1.52

Wolfsberger AC attack 1.58 + Austria Vienna defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 1.42

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Austria Vienna scores more

40%

level

25%

Wolfsberger AC scores more

35%

Austria Vienna at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Austria Vienna will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

28

P. Wiesinger

Austria Vienna · D

8.0

Match Events

46'

A. Gattermayer← M. Pink

63'

71'

72'

80'

82'

84'

84'

86'

Cheick Mamadou Diabate

90'

Abubakr Barry

90+2'

K. Aleksa← M. Malone

90+1'

T. Gruber← B. Matić

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

AustriaWolfsberger

Overview

59%Possession41%

9Total Shots11

6Corners4

10Fouls13

Shots

9Total Shots11

0On Target2

6Off Target8

3Blocked1

3Inside Box9

6Outside Box2

Passing

59%Possession41%

454Total Passes312

341Accurate Passes208

75%Pass Accuracy67%

Goalkeeping

2Saves0

Discipline

10Fouls13

2Yellow Cards3

1Offsides1