Asker 0–5 Alta: Result & Stats

Asker

FT

0 – 5

HT: 0 – 3

Alta

F. Jacobsen 56', 2'

P. Brekke 49'

N. Antonsen 32'

M. Larsen 7'

9/20/2025

2. Division - Group 2 · Group 2 - 21Foyka Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 42+ matches

Asker49%

×Draw21%

Alta30%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

AskerExpected goals in this matchAlta

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.10

1.61

Asker

2.10

Alta

1.61

Asker creates 30% more chances

Season form · 42 home / 62 away

1.71

creates per match

1.44

1.79

allows per match

2.50

creates per match

Asker

1.71

Alta

1.44

allows per match

Asker

1.79

Alta

2.50

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Asker+0.00on par

Alta+0.00on par

Total goals

Over71
Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes70
No30

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Asker ↓

Alta →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–14%

0–23%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–05%

1–18%

1–27%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–05%

2–19%

2–27%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–25%

3–33%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–23%

4–31%

4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

88%12%2.5

71%29%3.5

50%50%4.5

31%69%

Double chance

Asker or draw

70%

Asker or Alta

79%

Draw or Alta

51%

Winning margin

Asker wins by 2+

28%

Alta wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Asker 1+ goals

88%

Asker 2+ goals

62%

Asker 3+ goals

35%

Alta 1+ goals

80%

Alta 2+ goals

48%

Alta 3+ goals

22%

Draw no bet

Asker (draw refunded)

62%

Alta (draw refunded)

38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

62%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Asker at home — creates 1.71, concedes 1.79 · 42 matches

Alta away — creates 1.44, concedes 2.50 · 62 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Asker attack 1.71 + Alta defence 2.50 → ÷2 → 2.10

Alta attack 1.44 + Asker defence 1.79 → ÷2 → 1.61

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Asker scores more

49%

level

21%

Alta scores more

30%

Asker at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Asker will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

2'

7'

15'

18'

32'

45+2'

49'

50'

56'

60'

N. J. Arnesen← J. Johansen

61'

S. Jorgensen← M. Baekken

70'

A. Heggset← J. Kenyi

70'

A. Stokke← K. Syvertsen

70'

C. Kleiva← M. Andersen

70'

J. Andersen← R. Overvik

77'

D. Pettersen← Y. Larsen

80'

J. Lamark← H. Nome

80'

Z. Bello← P. Brekke

Asker

Alta

29

Honka-Hal

4

Mahlamaki

16

⚽

Antonsen

19

▼

Overvik

30

Norbye

8

▼

Andersen

9

▼

Nome

14

⚽2

Jacobsen

10

⚽

Larsen

18

⚽

▼

Brekke

23

Reginiuss

30

Hejer

3

▼

14

21

29

10

11

▼

Baekken

18

Spiten-Ny

27

▼

Kenyi

9

▼

Johansen

77

▼

Syvertsen

Manager: R. Bredal

60'▲N. J. Arnesen←▼J. Johansen

61'▲S. Jorgensen←▼M. Baekken

70'▲A. Heggset←▼J. Kenyi

70'▲A. Stokke←▼K. Syvertsen

77'▲D. Pettersen←▼Y. Larsen

Asker substitutes

1Normann6Pettersen12Heggset17Arnesen19Jorgensen28Stokke66N.

Manager: M. Duilo

70'▲C. Kleiva←▼M. Andersen

70'▲J. Andersen←▼R. Overvik

80'▲J. Lamark←▼H. Nome

80'▲Z. Bello←▼P. Brekke

Alta substitutes

24Seppa5Lamark15Kleiva22Bello32Andersen

2. Division - Group 2: Asker 0–5 Alta

Alta beat Asker 5-0 in 2. Division - Group 2 on September 20, 2025.

Goals: F. Jacobsen (2', 56'), M. Larsen (7'), N. Antonsen (32'), P. Brekke (49').

The match was played at Foyka Stadium in Asker.

Asker vs Alta — 2. Division - Group 2 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

2. Division - Group 2: Asker 0–5 Alta