AIK W 1–2 Norrköping W: Result & Stats

AIK W

FT

1 – 2

HT: 1 – 0

Norrköping W

H. Tabata 30'

E. Handfast 75'

W. Leidhammar 55'

11/16/2025

Damallsvenskan · Round 26Skytteholms IP

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 44+ matches

AIK W33%

×Draw25%

Norrköping W42%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

AIK WExpected goals in this matchNorrköping W

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.27

1.48

AIK W

1.27

Norrköping W

1.48

Norrköping W creates 17% more chances

Season form · 57 home / 44 away

1.21

creates per match

1.30

1.65

allows per match

1.32

creates per match

AIK W

1.21

Norrköping W

1.30

allows per match

AIK W

1.65

Norrköping W

1.32

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

AIK W+0.00on par

Norrköping W+0.00on par

Total goals

Over52
Under48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes56
No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

AIK W ↓

Norrköping W →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–19%

0–27%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–112%

1–29%

1–34%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

76%24%2.5

52%48%3.5

30%70%4.5

14%86%

Double chance

AIK W or draw

58%

AIK W or Norrköping W

75%

Draw or Norrköping W

67%

Winning margin

AIK W wins by 2+

14%

Norrköping W wins by 2+

20%

Team goals

AIK W 1+ goals

72%

AIK W 2+ goals

36%

AIK W 3+ goals

14%

Norrköping W 1+ goals

77%

Norrköping W 2+ goals

43%

Norrköping W 3+ goals

19%

Draw no bet

AIK W (draw refunded)

44%

Norrköping W (draw refunded)

56%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

43%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

AIK W at home — creates 1.21, concedes 1.65 · 57 matches

Norrköping W away — creates 1.30, concedes 1.32 · 44 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

AIK W attack 1.21 + Norrköping W defence 1.32 → ÷2 → 1.27

Norrköping W attack 1.30 + AIK W defence 1.65 → ÷2 → 1.48

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

AIK W scores more

33%

level

25%

Norrköping W scores more

42%

Norrköping W at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Norrköping W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

30

S. Backmark

AIK W · G

8.3

Match Events

16'

Julia Karlernäs

29'

Olivia Lindstedt

30'

H. Tabata↳ I. Bjornberg

32'

37'

55'

61'

64'

64'

S. Ravnell← D. Leskinen

67'

V. Dahlqvist← L. Sembrant

72'

J. Wik← D. De la Harpe

72'

A. Hellekant← V. Milivojevic

75'

E. Handfast↳ W. Leidhammar

83'

Paula Broddner Klingspor

84'

Son Hwa-Yeon← O. Lindstedt

84'

M. Sjostrom← E. Reidy

90+4'

P. Fischerova← J. Nordin

90+2'

S. E. Bardardottir← E. Burvall

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

AIKNorrköping

Overview

44%Possession56%

12Total Shots21

1.50Expected Goals (xG)2.48

6Corners3

13Fouls16

Shots

12Total Shots21

5On Target11

6Off Target4

1Blocked5

10Inside Box9

2Outside Box12

Passing

44%Possession56%

295Total Passes361

213Accurate Passes279

72%Pass Accuracy77%

Goalkeeping

10Saves4

Discipline

13Fouls16

3Yellow Cards3

1Red Cards0

0Offsides1

Damallsvenskan: AIK W 1–2 Norrköping W

Norrköping W beat AIK W 2-1 in Damallsvenskan on November 16, 2025.

Goals: H. Tabata (30'), W. Leidhammar (55'), E. Handfast (75').

Norrköping W controlled possession (56%) and registered 21 shots to 12.

The match was played at Skytteholms IP in Solna.

AIK W vs Norrköping W — Damallsvenskan 2020

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Damallsvenskan: AIK W 1–2 Norrköping W