AIK Stockholm 0–2 Halmstad: Result & Stats

AIK Stockholm

FT

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 1

Halmstad

V. Granath 83', 19'

11/9/2025

Allsvenskan · Round 30Strawberry Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 25+ matches

AIK Stockholm51%

×Draw24%

Halmstad25%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

AIK StockholmExpected goals in this matchHalmstad

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.66

1.07

AIK Stockholm

1.66

Halmstad

1.07

AIK Stockholm creates 55% more chances

Season form · 25 home / 25 away

1.57

creates per match

1.02

1.13

allows per match

1.74

creates per match

AIK Stockholm

1.57

Halmstad

1.02

allows per match

AIK Stockholm

1.13

Halmstad

1.74

+0.15scores more than expected

finishing

-0.18scores less than expected

finishing

AIK Stockholm+0.15scores more

Halmstad-0.18scores less

Total goals

Over51
Under49

Close call

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

AIK Stockholm ↓

Halmstad →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–17%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–112%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

76%24%2.5

51%49%3.5

29%71%4.5

14%86%

Double chance

AIK Stockholm or draw

75%

AIK Stockholm or Halmstad

76%

Draw or Halmstad

49%

Winning margin

AIK Stockholm wins by 2+

27%

Halmstad wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

AIK Stockholm 1+ goals

81%

AIK Stockholm 2+ goals

49%

AIK Stockholm 3+ goals

23%

Halmstad 1+ goals

66%

Halmstad 2+ goals

29%

Halmstad 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

AIK Stockholm (draw refunded)

68%

Halmstad (draw refunded)

32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

42%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

AIK Stockholm at home — creates 1.57, concedes 1.13 · 25 matches

Halmstad away — creates 1.02, concedes 1.74 · 25 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

AIK Stockholm attack 1.57 + Halmstad defence 1.74 → ÷2 → 1.66

Halmstad attack 1.02 + AIK Stockholm defence 1.13 → ÷2 → 1.07

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

AIK Stockholm scores more

51%

level

24%

Halmstad scores more

25%

AIK Stockholm at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "AIK Stockholm will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

11

V. Granath

Halmstad · M

8.2

Match Events

19'

V. Granath↳ M. Illary

42'

Pascal Gregor

46'

S. Papagiannopoulos← F. Nissen

46'

Y. Geiger← M. Thychosen

46'

T. Ayari← A. Ali

61'

G. Wallentin← R. Kaib

65'

K. Filling← E. Flataker

72'

M. Persson← E. Yeboah

72'

V. Johansson← N. Maenpaa

82'

J. Guidetti← T. Isherwood

83'

V. Granath

85'

Dino Beširović

86'

M. Olsson← P. Gregor

87'

L. Arvidsson← M. Illary

90+5'

John Guidetti

90+5'

Bleon Kurtulus

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

AIKHalmstad

Overview

65%Possession35%

13Total Shots11

0.83Expected Goals (xG)1.68

5Corners3

9Fouls16

Shots

13Total Shots11

2On Target5

6Off Target6

5Blocked0

5Inside Box8

8Outside Box3

Passing

65%Possession35%

548Total Passes304

438Accurate Passes218

80%Pass Accuracy72%

Goalkeeping

3Saves2

Discipline

9Fouls16

2Yellow Cards2

1Offsides0

Allsvenskan: AIK Stockholm 0–2 Halmstad

Halmstad beat AIK Stockholm 2-0 in Allsvenskan on November 9, 2025.

Goals: V. Granath (19', 83').

AIK Stockholm controlled possession (65%) and registered 13 shots to 11.

The match was played at Strawberry Arena in Solna.

AIK Stockholm vs Halmstad — Allsvenskan 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Allsvenskan: AIK Stockholm 0–2 Halmstad