Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Admira Praha vs Příbram — 3. liga - CFL A 2019

Admira Praha
Admira Praha
FT
2 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Příbram
Příbram
5/18/20253. liga - CFL A3. liga - CFL A · ČFL A - 28Stadion Na Pecích

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Admira Praha29%
×Draw24%
Příbram47%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Admira Praha
1.25
Příbram
1.65

Příbram creates 32% more chances

Season form · 87 home / 15 away

creates per match

Admira Praha
1.31
Příbram
2.00

allows per match

Admira Praha
1.30
Příbram
1.20

finishing

Admira Praha+0.00on par
Příbram+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Admira Praha ↓

Příbram →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–19%
0–28%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
55%45%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Admira Praha or draw
53%
Admira Praha or Příbram
76%
Draw or Příbram
71%

Winning margin

Admira Praha wins by 2+
12%
Příbram wins by 2+
24%

Team goals

Admira Praha 1+ goals
71%
Admira Praha 2+ goals
36%
Admira Praha 3+ goals
13%
Příbram 1+ goals
81%
Příbram 2+ goals
49%
Příbram 3+ goals
23%

Draw no bet

Admira Praha (draw refunded)
38%
Příbram (draw refunded)
62%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Admira Praha at home — creates 1.31, concedes 1.30 · 87 matches

Příbram away — creates 2.00, concedes 1.20 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Admira Praha attack 1.31 + Příbram defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 1.25

Příbram attack 2.00 + Admira Praha defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.65

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Admira Praha scores more
29%
level
24%
Příbram scores more
47%

Příbram at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Příbram will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

3. liga - CFL A: Admira Praha 2–0 Příbram

Admira Praha beat Příbram 2-0 in 3. liga - CFL A on May 18, 2025.

The match was played at Stadion Na Pecích in Praha.